2026 U.S. Open Winner Odds: Scottie Scheffler Favored Again at Shinnecock Hills
The U.S. Open will get underway on Long Island on Thursday from Shinnecock Hills. Can Scottie Scheffler find his way to a win after opening as the favorite? Let's take a look at the 2026 U.S. Open winner odds starting Thursday, June 18th.
Peter Alexis - June 16, 2026, 4:30 PM EDT
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The 2026 U.S. Open begins Thursday, June 18, at Shinnecock Hills in Long Island, one of the most demanding major championship venues in golf. The course has a long U.S. Open history and should test every part of the field with wind, firm greens, uneven lies, and the mental pressure that comes with a true national championship setup.
Scottie Scheffler leads the betting board at +600, followed by Rory McIlroy at +1200, Jon Rahm at +1500, Xander Schauffele at +1800, Matt Fitzpatrick at +2150, and Cameron Young at +2200. The top of the market is built around proven major winners, elite ball-strikers, and players capable of surviving a course where patience may matter as much as firepower.
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2026 PGA Championship Odds
2026 PGA Championship Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Thursday, June 18th - Sunday, June 21st, 2026
- Time: 7:00 AM ET
- Where to Watch: NBC, Peacock, NBCSN, USA Network
Click here for complete 2026 PGA Championship Odds
2026 PGA Championship Odds Breakdown
Scottie Scheffler (+600) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Scheffler is the clear favorite because he remains the most reliable tee-to-green player in the world and now enters Shinnecock with history in play. A U.S. Open win would complete the career Grand Slam, and that storyline only adds pressure to a player already expected to contend every time he tees it up.
The concern is price more than profile. Scheffler is short for a U.S. Open at a course where wind, bounces, and putting variance can quickly tighten the field. Still, if the winning formula is fairways, elite approach play, and avoiding doubles, he is the obvious player to beat.
Rory McIlroy (+1200) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
McIlroy sits second on the board at +1200 and brings one of the best major résumés in the field. He has the distance to overpower parts of Shinnecock, but his chances will likely come down to wedge control, patience, and whether he avoids the kind of short-game mistakes that can wreck a U.S. Open round.
The course fit is fascinating because McIlroy is comfortable in wind and has enough experience to manage difficult major setups. The issue is closing. Rory will be one of the biggest betting draws again, but he needs four steady rounds rather than one brilliant charge to finally add another U.S. Open title.
Jon Rahm (+1500) Check out the best odds at BetMGM Sportsbook
Rahm is priced at +1500 and has the right temperament for a difficult U.S. Open test. He already owns a U.S. Open title from 2021, and his combination of power, iron play, and competitive edge makes him a natural fit for Shinnecock if the course turns into a grind.
The question is whether his current form is sharp enough to match the number. Rahm does not need a birdie-fest to contend, and that helps him here. If Shinnecock plays firm and stressful, he has the profile to hang around while others make big mistakes.
Xander Schauffele (+1800) Check out the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Schauffele is +1800 and remains one of the safest major championship profiles on the board. He has the all-around game to handle difficult setups, and his ability to avoid blow-up rounds makes him especially appealing at a U.S. Open venue where par can gain strokes.
The only issue is whether he has enough win equity compared to the players above him. Schauffele is rarely out of position, but Shinnecock may require a player to separate with elite putting or a few aggressive iron swings. His floor is strong, and this is exactly the kind of course where that consistency can keep him near the lead all weekend.
Matt Fitzpatrick (+2150) Check out the best odds at Bet365 Sportsbook
Fitzpatrick is one of the more interesting names at +2150 because he has already proven he can win a U.S. Open. His 2022 victory at Brookline came on a course that demanded discipline, control, and short-game toughness, which are all traits that should matter again at Shinnecock.
He is not the longest hitter in this group, but that may not be a major problem if the course rewards placement and patience. Fitzpatrick’s path is built around finding fairways, scrambling well, and avoiding the big number. At this price, he offers a strong blend of proven U.S. Open pedigree and course-fit appeal.
Cameron Young (+2200) Check out the best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Young is +2200 and may be the most interesting local-adjacent storyline near the top of the board. He has the power to handle a major setup, and his comfort in the Northeast should only add to the appeal if conditions get difficult on Long Island.
The concern is closing at the highest level. Young has repeatedly flashed major-winning talent, but he still needs to turn contention into a complete Sunday finish. If he putts well, the ball-striking ceiling is high enough to make him a serious threat at Shinnecock.
2026 U.S. Open Odds Outlook
Scheffler is the rightful favorite, but +600 is still a short number in a U.S. Open field loaded with volatility. McIlroy, Rahm, and Schauffele all have strong enough profiles to win, while Fitzpatrick and Young bring better value if the course turns into a controlled, patient test rather than a pure power contest.
Shinnecock should reward players who can stay disciplined for four rounds. Scheffler has the best overall game, but Fitzpatrick at +2150 and Young at +2200 are the more interesting prices among the top six if the goal is finding a mix of course fit and upside.
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