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Ballon d'Or Odds Update: Ranking the Top 5 Candidates To Take Home the Award in 2021

With the Ballon D'or winner set to be announced next month, we take a look at the updated top five favorites to win the award in 2021, according to the latest Ballon D'or odds.
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Ballon d'Or Odds Update: Ranking the Top 5 Candidates To Take Home the Award in 2021

When is the Ballon D'or Announced?

The 2021 Ballon d’Or ceremony is on Monday, 29 November.

Where will the 2021 Ballon d’Or ceremony take place?

Paris, France

Who votes for the Ballon D'or?

A selection of national team coaches, team captains, and journalists from around the world cast their votes.

How does voting for Ballon D'or work?

Once the panel of voters is selected, they then choose their top five players from the list of 30. The list of 30 players is established by a select group of 180 journalists from around the world to determine the top 30 candidates for the award. The top-ranking player from each journalist's selection will receive six points, with the second-ranking player earning four points, then three, two, and one going down from the rest of their top five picks.

How is a winner chosen for the Ballon d'Or?

After each member on the panel has selected their top five players for the Ballon d'Or award, the total points are calculated and added, and the player to receive the most number of points will be awarded the honor of Ballon D'or.

On November 29 in Paris, the 2021 Ballon D'or winner will be announced. So nearly a month away from the winner being announced we've taken a look at the latest rankings based on the odds.

Click Here For The Latest Ballon d'Or Odds

Ballon D'or Rankings

1. Lionel Messi (-172)

Messi, who left Barcelona for Paris Saint-Germain this summer, has a record six career Ballon d'Or trophies and is the most recent winner in 2019. He is the favorite once again in 2021 after winning the first major international trophy of his professional career with Argentina, leading the national team to a Copa America title. His start to his career with his new club has been pedestrian by Messi standards and that's the reason his odds have fallen over the last few weeks. His performance in yesterday's 3-2 victory in Champions League may have helped his cause though among his supporters as he netted two goals. The next couple of weeks may determine if he will win his record seventh time as a few other players are breathing down his neck for the award.

2. Robert Lewandowski (+290)

Lewandowski has seen his odds cut nearly in half over the last two weeks. The Polish striker has been nothing short of phenomenal the last few years. He is arguably the most in-form player in the world at the moment. Many will argue he was robbed of the award in 2020 when the Covid-19 pandemic canceled the award. In the 2019-20 campaign, he netted a staggering 55 goals in 47 games. He has scored 9 goals in 8 games already for Bayern Munich and shows no signs of slowing down. With a few more strong performances in Bundesliga and in the Champions League, he has the best chance to threaten Messi for the award. He would be my pick based on his consistent play in 2020-2021.

3. Jorginho (+800)

It might not be a popular decision if he places in the top three, but voters put more stock in trophies than statistics sometimes just as they do in other sports. Jorghino has no shortage of trophies either. The Italian star midfielder was named the UEFA Men's Player of the Year in August. He was a key cog in Italy lifting the Euro 2020 trophy this past summer. He was also a key part of his Premier League club Chelsea, winning the Champions League and will continue to be key to Chelsea's success as they look to retain their Champions League crown and challenge for the Premier League title. His odds have lengthened a bit moving from +650 to +800 as we get closer to the award ceremony.

4. Mohamed Salah (+1200)

Salah is the newest name in the top five for the award. The Egyptian striker is making his case as we move closer. He scored an unbelievable goal over the weekend in a victory over Watford. He is the leading man of the Liverpool attack and has been key in the club's success over the last few seasons. He has started off the Premier League season on fire scoring 7 goals in 8 games the most in the EPL. He has scored in each of his last eight matches for Liverpool. Salah is making a case for being the best player in the world but I don't believe it will be enough to win the award here in 2021 as Liverpool and he struggled mightily most of last season.

5. Ngolo Kante (+1400)

Another Chelsea midfielder, N'Golo Kante finds himself among the top five rankings for the Ballon d'Or in 2021. A defensive midfielder has never won the award but Kante makes a strong case to be the first. Kante was the favorite to win the award before the summer of 2021. He has now seen his odds fall from +1000 to +1400 now. Injuries have been a major factor in this but he is now back to being fully fit for Chelsea and he looks to be a key member of them defending their Champions League trophy and contend for the Premier League title. He has changed the way we watch soccer as his dominance all over the field is something to watch. He makes the award not just about goal scoring and strikers but how he makes the entire team better around him.

Click Here For The Latest Ballon d'Or Odds


Tom Viera is an experienced betting and fantasy sports writer. Tom brings a vast knowledge of all things NFL, NBA, MLB and soccer to the OddsChecker stable of handicappers.


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