PGA Championship Odds: Rory McIlroy the Favorite and Most Backed Golfer

Rory McIlroy is dominating early 2021 PGA Championship betting
Brian Good
Mon, May 10, 12:51 PM EDT

PGA Championship Odds: Rory McIlroy the Favorite and Most Bet Golfer After Win

It wasn’t Tiger Woods winning the Masters in 2019, but it felt almost as good. On Sunday, Rory McIlroy returned to the top, winning the 2021 Wells Fargo Championship. It was the former World No. 1’s first PGA Tour win in 18 months.

Predictably, the 2021 PGA Championship odds reacted to McIlroy’s win. As of the end of Sunday’s final round, Rory McIlroy is the favorite to win the PGA Championship this year. It would be McIlroy’s first major win since 2014’s Open Championship. He won the PGA Championship as well that season. The Masters is the only one of golf’s Majors that McIlroy is missing for his career Grand Slam.

But, not only have oddsmakers made McIlroy the 2021 PGA Championship favorite, he has also become the overwhelming most popular pick among the betting public since his Wells Fargo Championship win.

So, it’s time to take a look at the PGA Championship odds and betting data and break down who the oddsmakers think will win and who the betting public is rushing to back. SPOILER ALERT: It’s Rory McIlroy.

PGA Championship Odds

There wasn’t much to get excited about for Rory McIlroy coming into this past weekend’s performance and ahead of the 2021 PGA Championship. McIlroy had missed the cut in two of his last three showings, including the Masters, and the PGA Championship odds didn’t give him much of a chance.

Prior to the Wells Fargo Championship, McIlroy’s PGA Championship odds sat at +2000 to win his first major since 2014. Now, they’ve halved as he’s +1000 and the favorite in the field.

If you’re checking out 2021 PGA Championship odds and looking for experience, McIlroy won’t be your pick. He’s played just once at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island. Of course, it’s important to remember that appearance came at the 2012 PGA Championship, an event he won.

Just behind McIlroy in the 2021 PGA Championship odds is the world’s No. 1 golfer, Dustin Johnson, at +1200. Johnson withdrew from the upcoming AT&T Byron Nelson on Monday. Jon Rahm joins DJ with +1200 PGA Championship Odds.

Bryson DeChambeau and Justin Thomas (+1400) round out the top five in the 2021 PGA Championship odds market.

Golfer PGA Championship Odds Implied Probability
Rory McIlroy +1000 9.1%
Dustin Johnson +1200 7.7%
Jon Rahm +1200 7.7%
Bryson DeChambeau +1400 6.7%
Justin Thomas +1400 6.7%
Jordan Spieth +1600 5.9%
Xander Schauffele +2000 4.8%
Brooks Koepka +2200 4.3%
Collin Morikawa +2700 3.6%
Hideki Matsuyama +2700 3.6%

PGA Championship Betting

We’re used to seeing a “winner’s bump” in the betting market for players that win tournaments close to the start of majors. But, Rory McIlroy is pulling far ahead of the other golfers in the PGA Championship odds market when it comes to public backing.

Since the close of Sunday’s final round of the Wells Fargo Championship, Rory McIlroy has been backed by 26.46% of all outright PGA Championship bets, more than double any other golfer.

McIlroy isn’t the only golfer in the PGA Championship market seeing a boost for their performance last weekend. Viktor Hovland shot a 4-under par on Sunday to finish T3 at the Wells Fargo Championship and has been the second most backed golfer since Sunday when it comes to PGA Championship odds.

Golfer Public Betting Since May 9
Rory McIlroy 26.46%
Viktor Hovland 11.46%
Jordan Spieth 8.64%
Abe Ancer 6.7%
Cameron Smith 6.35%
Corey Conners 2.65%
Gary Woodland 2.47%
Keegan Bradley 2.29%

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