Pennsylvania Senate Odds: Dr. Mehmet Oz Given 62.3% Chance To Win Republican Primary

Less than a week out from the Pennsylvania primary, Dr. Mehmet Oz is the favorite. In the polls it’s within the margin of error, but oddsmakers believe the difference is significantly more clear.
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Pennsylvania Senate Odds: Dr. Mehmet Oz Given 62.3% Chance To Win Republican Primary

Less than a week out from the Pennsylvania primary, Dr. Mehmet Oz is the favorite. In the polls, it’s within the margin of error, but oddsmakers believe the difference is significantly more clear.

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Dr. Oz is given -165 odds, or an implied 62.3% chance of victory. His biggest challenge is Kathy Barnette who oddsmakers gave +160 odds, or an implied 38.5% chance of victory. David McCormick is on the outside looking in at +500, or an implied 16.7% chance.

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This is a massive change from where they were when the odds first appeared in February. Back then, McCormick was the clear favorite at -140, Dr. Oz was second at +165, and Kathy Barnett had little to no shot at +3300. So, if you’re looking for the candidate with the most momentum right now, it may be Barnette despite Oz’s position as the favorite.

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Pennsylvania is one of those states that’s incredibly difficult to poll, alongside Wisconsin and Michigan. That’s why a race with three candidates so close at the top like this one is so tough to call. It’s clear that oddsmakers believe that the polls are correct, and Dr. Oz will win the primary. However, it would be foolish to dismiss the crazy momentum that has shown up for Kathy Barnette. To go from +3300 to +160 is no joke. It’s clear that she’s a very real contender in this fight.

Pennsylvania Senate Republican Primary Odds

CandidateOddsImplied chance
Mehmet Oz-16562.3%
Kathy Barnette+16038.5%
David McCormick+50016.7%
Jeff Bartos+100001%
Carla Sands+100001%
George Bochetto+125000.8%
Keith Rothfus+125000.8%

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insight

A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.

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