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Pennsylvania Election Odds: Mehmet Oz Given 64% Chance to Defeat John Fetterman in Senate Race

When October began, UK sportsbooks felt pretty confident that Democrats were going to flip the Pennsylvania senate seat. Mehmet Oz was given +275 Pennsylvania Senate Election odds. Oz is now the favorite to win the seat.
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Pennsylvania Election Odds: Mehmet Oz Given 64% Chance to Defeat John Fetterman in Senate Race

When October began, UK sportsbooks felt pretty confident that Democrats were going to flip the Pennsylvania senate seat. Mehmet Oz was given +275 odds, or just an implied 26.7% chance to win at the time.

Fast forward just one month to the beginning of November, and Oz is now the favorite to win the Pennsylvania Senate Election over John Fetterman.

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Pennsylvania Senate Election Odds

Dr. Oz is now given -175 odds in the Pennsylvania Senate Election, or an implied 63.6% chance to win the race. Meaning his chance to win the race has improved by 37.1% in just one month in the eyes of sportsbooks.

At the same time, Democrat John Fetterman has now seen his Pennsylvania Senate Election odds tumble all the way down to +138, or an implied 42.1% chance.

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Pennsylvania Senate Election Odds and Betting Data

That flip has a lot to do with the betting since the debate.

Since the debate, 73.2% of bets have been placed on Oz, while 26.8% have been placed on Fetterman. Over the seven days prior, from October 17-24th, Oz had seen just 52.1% of bets compared to Fetterman’s 47.9%. Meaning Oz has seen a 21.1% increase in bets placed on him since the debate.

Based on the Pennsylvania Senate Election odds and public betting data, UK Bettors and sportsbooks agree that Pennsylvania has swung. It’s no longer a likely flip, and may even be a likely hold for Republicans now.

As goes Pennsylvania, so does the Senate. Republicans are now heavily favored to flip the Senate at -188, or an implied 65.2% chance.

Since the debate in Pennsylvania, 62.5% of bets have been placed on Republicans to flip the Senate, while only 37.5% have been on Democrats to keep it. The week prior, 17-24th, Republicans had seen 57.85% of bets placed on them compared to the 42.15%.

That shows that the debate in Pennsylvania caused a 4.65% swing nationally in the eyes of UK bettors.

Pennsylvania Senate Election Odds: Who Will Win?

CandidateOdds on October 1stOdds on November 1st
Mehmet Oz+275-175
John Fetterman-250+138

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A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.

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