5 Best Prop Picks for Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 4 - Sunday, May 10th NBA Playoffs
The Minnesota Timberwolves are struggling to find their footing in this Western Conference Semifinals series against the Spurs. Can Anthony Edwards and co. bounce back against San Antonio in Game 4 tonight and even the series? Let's take a look at this Spurs vs. Timberwolves collection of best bets for Sunday, May 10.
The Wolf - May 10, 2026, 5:00 PM EDT
3 Minute ReadSpurs vs. T-Wolves Best Bets: Can Spurs Limit Anthony Edwards in Game 4?
Minnesota enters Game 4 trailing 2-1 and sitting as a 5.5-point underdog at home, which says plenty about how much control San Antonio has taken in this series. The Timberwolves need a response, but they also need it from more than one place. If Anthony Edwards is still not fully right with the knee issue, Minnesota’s supporting cast has to absorb more responsibility.
The Spurs have defended Edwards well, forcing tougher looks and limiting his rhythm as both a scorer and playmaker. That creates a board built around Edwards unders, while also opening paths for secondary players on both sides to clear manageable numbers in a physical playoff setting.
Spurs vs. T-Wolves Date, Time, and Where to Watch Game 4
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- How to Watch: ESPN
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Spurs vs. T-Wolves Game 4 Odds
Click here for complete Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 4 Odds
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Best Bets - Game 4
1. Anthony Edwards – Under 26.5 Points (-120) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 72.71%
- Implied Probability: 54.65%
- EV: 33.06%
- Trend: Under in 8 of last 10
Edwards is still the headline player for Minnesota, but the scoring trend is too strong to ignore. He has stayed under this number in 8 of his last 10, and San Antonio has made him work for clean looks throughout the series. If the knee is still limiting his explosiveness, getting to 27 points becomes a tougher ask against a locked-in Spurs defense.
2. Anthony Edwards – Under 4.5 Assists (-131) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 75.14%
- Implied Probability: 56.82%
- EV: 32.25%
- Trend: Under in 8 of last 10
The Spurs are not just limiting Edwards as a scorer. They are also disrupting his creation windows. He has failed to clear this assist line in 8 of his last 10, and playoff half-court possessions make assist accumulation even harder. Minnesota may need him aggressive, but that does not mean the passing numbers follow.
3. Keldon Johnson – Over 3.5 Rebounds (-101) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 66.11%
- Implied Probability: 50.25%
- EV: 31.56%
- Trend: Over in 7 of last 10
Johnson’s physicality fits this series. He has cleared this number in 7 of his last 10, and Game 4 should bring enough missed shots and contested possessions to keep rebound chances available. At near-even pricing, this is a strong value spot for a player who stays active around the ball.
4. Julian Champagnie – Over 8.5 Points (-110) Click here to get the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 69.21%
- Implied Probability: 52.63%
- EV: 31.5%
- Trend: Over in 6 of last 10
Champagnie continues to give San Antonio steady secondary scoring, and that matters in a road playoff game where Minnesota will key heavily on the Spurs’ stars. He has cleared this line in 6 of his last 10 and does not need huge usage to get there. A few perimeter looks and one attacking possession can put him in range quickly.
5. Ayo Dosunmu – Over 1.5 Threes (-105) Click here to get the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
- AI Probability: 66.78%
- Implied Probability: 51.28%
- EV: 30.22%
- Trend: Over in 4 of last 10
The trend is not elite, but the price and role keep this live. Dosunmu only needs two makes, and playoff defenses often force secondary guards into catch-and-shoot opportunities when stars draw attention. If Minnesota has to chase offense or San Antonio collapses into the paint, this number becomes very reachable.
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