2026 Wimbledon Odds: Jannik Sinner Remains Odds-On Favorite After Shaky Start to Wimbledon Campaign
Jannik Sinner remains the Wimbledon men’s favorite despite a shaky start through the first two rounds. With Carlos Alcaraz out of the draw, Novak Djokovic, Alexander Zverev and Taylor Fritz headline the chase pack in a suddenly open futures market.
Peter Alexis - July 2, 2026, 1:53 PM EDT
5 Minute Read2026 Wimbledon Winner Odds: Is Jannik Sinner Looking Vulnerable After Nervous Start to Wimbledon?
Wimbledon moves deeper into the first week at the All England Club, with the men’s draw already taking shape around a mix of established Grand Slam champions, rising young stars and dangerous grass-court specialists. The absence of Carlos Alcaraz has opened the tournament significantly, leaving Jannik Sinner as the clear favorite but not without questions.
Sinner is still -155 to win the title, followed by Novak Djokovic at +500, Alexander Zverev at +850 and Taylor Fritz at +1100. Further down the board, Daniil Medvedev, Joao Fonseca, Frances Tiafoe and Rafael Jodar all remain live at longer prices after eventful opening rounds.
2026 Men's Wimbledon Winner Odds
2026 Men's Wimbledon Winner Odds
Jannik Sinner (-155) Check out these Best Wimbledon Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Sinner remains the market favorite, but the path has not looked easy. He survived Miomir Kecmanovic in five sets in the first round, winning 4-6, 6-3, 6-7, 6-2, 6-3 after dealing with a bloody foot and uneven movement. He was cleaner in Round 2 against Nuno Borges, winning 7-6(4), 7-6(2), 6-4, but the match still required two tight tiebreaks before he pulled away.
The price is aggressive because Alcaraz is not in the draw, and Sinner is still the best current player in the tournament on raw upside. The concern is that he has already had to work hard, and his grass movement has not looked as smooth as it did during last year’s title run. If he has to beat some combination of Jodar, Medvedev, Djokovic and Zverev, the -155 number leaves little room for physical or tactical slippage.
Novak Djokovic (+500) Check out these Best Wimbledon Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Djokovic looks dangerous again after a strong second-round statement. He beat Wu Yibing 6-4, 5-7, 6-4, 6-4 in Round 1, then dismantled Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 in Round 2, extending his long-running dominance over the Greek.
At 39, Djokovic no longer needs to be perfect in the early rounds to be a real title threat. Wimbledon still gives him his best major surface because shorter points, elite return positioning and unmatched point management all travel on grass. His draw likely runs through Sinner before the final, but at +500, he is the most obvious alternative if the favorite keeps looking vulnerable.
Alexander Zverev (+850) Check out these Best Wimbledon Odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Zverev entered Wimbledon fresh off his first Grand Slam title at the French Open, but his opener was not comfortable. He beat Alexander Blockx 6-4, 6-7(8), 7-6(5), 7-6(0), surviving three tiebreaks in a match that showed both his serving power and his occasional grass-court discomfort. He looked much sharper in Round 2, beating Valentin Royer 6-1, 6-3, 7-6(3).
The upside is that Zverev is now playing with the pressure of a first major title removed. If he serves well and keeps points shorter, he has enough firepower to make a deep run without Alcaraz sitting in the bracket. The concern is still whether he can sustain a full Wimbledon title push on grass, where his margins have historically been thinner than on hard courts or clay.
Taylor Fritz (+1100) Check out these Best Wimbledon Odds at BetMGM Sportsbook
Fritz may be the best underdog profile near the top of the board. He has not dropped a set, beating Dusan Lajovic 6-3, 6-4, 6-3 in Round 1 before handling Patrick Kypson 6-2, 6-2, 7-5 in Round 2.
The American’s draw looks favorable compared to some of the other contenders, and his grass-court game fits this tournament perfectly. He serves big, plays first-strike tennis and has already shown he can make a deep Wimbledon run after reaching the semifinals last year. At +1100, Fritz has enough form and draw equity to be more than just a longshot name.
Daniil Medvedev (+4000) Check out these Best Wimbledon Odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Medvedev opened with a clean 6-1, 6-2, 6-4 win over Marin Cilic, then had to work through a much tougher second-round match against Daniel Merida, winning 3-6, 6-3, 7-5, 6-2. That second result was not perfect, but it did show his ability to solve problems once he found rhythm.
Medvedev has never been a natural grass-court favorite, but his serve, flat ball and defensive awkwardness can still be uncomfortable at Wimbledon. At +4000, the number is more about whether he can catch a section of the draw opening up. If he lands opposite a tired Sinner or avoids the cleanest power servers, he can still make noise.
Joao Fonseca (+4000) Check out these Best Wimbledon Odds at BetMGM Sportsbook
Fonseca has been one of the most exciting players in the draw so far. He beat Roberto Bautista Agut 7-6(4), 6-4, 6-3 in Round 1, then followed it with a strong 6-1, 7-5, 6-4 win over Jesper de Jong in Round 2.
The Brazilian brings explosiveness, crowd energy and a huge forehand that plays well when he is confident. The question is whether he has enough grass-court experience to win seven matches at a major. At +4000, he is still more of a ceiling play than a stable title contender, but his first two rounds made the price worth noticing.
Frances Tiafoe (+4500) Check out these Best Wimbledon Odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Tiafoe’s first-round win over Terence Atmane was not entirely clean, but he got through 7-6(6), 6-1, 4-6, 6-4. He gave up a set after looking in control, which fits the broader Tiafoe profile: dangerous, athletic and capable of runs, but not always easy to trust for full-match dominance.
The reason he remains interesting is that grass rewards his serve, movement and improvisation. Tiafoe has the shot-making to beat better players when the crowd gets involved and his confidence builds. At +4500, he is not a primary title pick, but he is dangerous enough to spoil a section if he strings together a few clean serving days.
Rafael Jodar (+5000) Check out these Best Wimbledon Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Jodar has become one of the surprise stories of the tournament. He beat Felix Gill 6-3, 6-3, 7-5 in his Wimbledon debut, then survived a wild all-Spanish second-round match against Pablo Carreno Busta, winning 3-6, 6-3, 1-6, 6-3, 6-4.
The teenage Spaniard has already shown major-match toughness after also coming back from two sets down against Carreno Busta at Roland Garros. His problem is the path. He may have the talent and fearlessness to keep advancing, but winning Wimbledon from this point would require beating multiple established grass or Grand Slam threats. At +5000, Jodar is the exciting longshot, not the most realistic champion.
Wimbledon Men’s Winner Odds Outlook
Sinner deserves favorite status because Alcaraz is out and the top of the draw has opened, but -155 is not a comfortable price given how much he has had to work already. He has survived the early danger, but he has not looked untouchable.
Djokovic is the clearest challenger because his second-round level against Tsitsipas looked like a real warning shot. Zverev has the major-title momentum and a better draw position, while Fritz is the sneaky value because he has not dropped a set and has the grass profile to keep rolling.
The best value near the top may be Fritz at +1100, while Djokovic remains the most credible direct threat to Sinner. The favorite can absolutely win, but the early rounds have made this feel much more open than the -155 price suggests.
- Market Favoite: Jannik Sinner (-155) Check out these Best Wimbledon Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- Value Watch: Taylor Fritz (+1100) Check out these Best Wimbledon Odds at BetMGM Sportsbook
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