Gonzaga vs. Tarleton State Prediction: Can the Bulldogs Cover Massive Spread?

Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Tarleton State Texans prediction and pick for Monday's college basketball matchup. LightningLockz gives his pick here.
Lightning Locks |
Mon, November 29, 3:28 PM EST | 4 min read
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Gonzaga vs. Tarleton State Prediction: Can the Bulldogs Cover Massive Spread?

Sometimes, you look at a spread or a game and say, wow, that's a big number. Sometimes you just don't care. Tonight is that game. Gonzaga has lost two games in two seasons, and one was the title game last year. Gonzaga lost to Duke in a great matchup. It was the best game of the season so far, it showed us a lot about the elite teams, and that was March Madness in November. I can't say how great that game was to watch (we swept it, made it more fun, and had Duke moneyline for a little +325).

Gonzaga vs. Tarleton State Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: Saturday, November 29, 2021Game Time: 10:00 p.m. ETWhere To Watch:  KHQ / ROOT

Click Here For Gonzaga vs Tarleton State Odds

Gonzaga vs. Tarleton State Prediction

Tonight, the Zags play Tarleton State. Don't lie -- you don't know where this school is; it's ok, not many do (Stephenville, Texas, which is not a hotbed of sports). I will give Tarleton some credit -- they did give Michigan a game (we had them +22) and they have played Kansas (losing by 26, a push ATS), so it's not like they are afraid of the big boys, but neither of those teams is Gonzaga, and none of them is playing Gonzaga off a loss.

Tarleton plays the Princeton-style offense (the reason being they aren't that good offensively). They are averaging 56.5 points a game, good for 353rd in the country. Gonzaga is #1 in the country in FG% at 55% and averages 90 points a game. I think we see what is going to happen. You can play how you want, but the Zags will get their 90. The size advantage is huge, and Holmgren and Timme (neither hit a three last game) should be able to shoot 70% in this game if they want. I don't think Gonzaga will take anyone lightly, and I think tonight they make sure they win and win big. The number doesn't matter because it's what it should be, but off a 17-turnover game (and a bad three-point shooting night) where they were exposed a little, this game is going to get ugly (no mercy).

The Zags are known for offense and scoring, and already this year, they have won by 34, 42, 53, and the UCLA score was much worse than what it ended at (20). Zags can pick their score tonight, and 90-50 isn't an unrealistic score possibility. Tarleton averages 20 baskets, Zags average 40. That's what we should see tonight.

BLOWOUT City!!! Lay it and get paid.

Gonzaga vs. Tarleton State Pick

  • Gonzaga -30.5 (-119)
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