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Kamaru Usman seeks revenge on Leon Edwards in the UFC 286 rubber match of their trilogy. Trent Pruitt breaks down the odds and provides his top DraftKings prop and parlay for the Welterweight strap.
ANALYSIS

UFC 286 Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman DraftKings Props and Parlay

It was just seven months ago when Leon Edwards landed an insane knockout head kick in the waning moments of the fifth round to claim the championship belt from Kamaru Usman. The Nigerian Nightmare must compete in a hostile O2 Arena in the heart of London if he wants to reclaim the Welterweight belt. 

There are a ton of different ways to bet on Saturday's main event from the U.K., but I’ve narrowed in on these two DraftKings plays. 

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Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman ODDS

FighterOdds
Kamaru Usman-245
Leon Edwards+205

Before we dive into the parlays, let’s check out the moneyline odds for the trilogy conclusion between Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards. The oddsmakers see Usman as a sizable favorite, sitting at -245 to get his hand raised. Edwards comes back at +205 to retain the top spot in the Welterweight Division. 

Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman DraftKings PARLAY

Kamaru Usman To Win and Over 4.5 (-135) Bet $100 to collect $174 DraftKings has the best odds; click here to bet

It was apparent in the August bout that Kamaru Usman was still the better overall fighter between him and Leon Edwards. I certainly don’t want to take anything away from the Englishman as he won the fight fair and square, but there was still a clear skill gap.

Of all the ways this main event trilogy can play out, I anticipate Usman returning to the area where he excels – his grappling. The Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt and NCAA Division II National Champion is basically untouchable on the canvas, which has played an important role in why he defended the belt five straight times. 

I think Usman makes this a boring fight (at least to casual fans) and collects ground control over five rounds. Ultimately, I see the former champ reclaiming his belt via the judges’ scorecards. Let’s take Usman and the over 4.5 rounds parlayed together. 

Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman DraftKings Prop

Kamaru Usman To Win by KO/TKO/DQ in Round 4 (+2500) Bet $100 to collect $2,600 DraftKings has the best odds; click here to bet

Now, if we’re looking for more of a longshot play here, then I’m going to ride with Usman to win by KO/TKO/DQ in the fourth round at +2500. It’ll be a tough feat considering Edwards has never lost by either submission or knockout in his 20-3 career. But, if anyone can do it, it’ll be Usman, who has collected nine of his 20 professional wins via knockout. 

I’m already convinced that Usman will dominate this fight by taking it to the ground. From a statistical standpoint, it’s worth noting that the former champ has won the takedown battle 11-1 over their two fights. Edwards can train takedown defense all he wants, but I still expect Usman to have the wrestling edge. 

From there, there’s always the potential that Usman lands a ton of ground and pound and gets the knockout. As for the choice in the round, I think Edwards has the defensive prowess to last a while before eventually getting stuck in a poor position. As I said above, I expect Usman to win by decision, but this should be a fun lottery ticket parlay to sprinkle some money on!

Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

When: March 18, 2023,

Time: 5:00 PM EDT / 1:00 PM PST

Where: O2 Arena (ENG), London, England

Where to Watch: ESPN+, PPV

Click here for Edwards vs. Usman odds

Article Author

Boxing/MMAGolfNFLMLBNHLNBA

Trent is a Chicago native who has been an avid sports fan since he could walk. He played sports throughout his youth and played collegiate rugby at Arizona State University. Trent still resides in Arizona, where he spends his days covering sports from a sports betting perspective. He fell in love with the analytical side of sports in his late teens and has been following the sports betting industry for 10+ years now! You can follow him on Twitter and Instagram for all of his sports betting picks at @Trentbets.

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