Army vs. Navy Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest CFB Odds for Historic Rivalry Showdown
The Army Black Knights and Navy Midshipmen will meet once again on Saturday in mid-December, with everything on the line. With the total going over in two of the last three years after 16 years of unders, will we see the offenses deliver again in 2025? Peter Alexis is eyeing a play on the total in this Army vs. Navy prediction for Saturday, December 13th.
Peter Alexis - December 13, 2025, 2:00 PM EST
5 Minute ReadArmy vs. Navy Prediction: Will the Over Hit for Third Time in Four Games After Epic Under Streak in Storied Rivalry?
The 126th edition of the Army Navy Game once again takes center stage as one of the most iconic rivalries in all of sports. This annual standalone showdown is played on the Saturday following the conference championship games and almost always delivers a tense, physical, low scoring battle. Navy enters this year’s matchup ranked 22nd in the country and favored by 6.5 points at home, with the Midshipmen set to wear special uniforms honoring the 250th birthday of the United States Navy.
Historically, Navy holds the all time series lead at 63-55 with 7 ties, including a dominant 14 game winning streak from 2002 through 2015. However, momentum has swung back toward Army in recent years, as the Black Knights have won 6 of the last 9 meetings. These games are rarely decided by explosive plays and often come down to discipline, ball control, and execution in the trenches.
Totals have long been the story of this rivalry. The under cashed an incredible 16 straight times from 2006 through 2021, turning this matchup into an auto fade for casual bettors. That trend has softened recently, though, with the over hitting in 2 of the last 3 games. This year’s total is listed at 38.5, noticeably higher than usual, as these teams bring more experienced and dynamic backfields than we typically see in this series.
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Army vs. Navy Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025
- Time: 4:00 PM ET
- How to Watch: CBS
Army vs. Navy Odds
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Army vs. Navy Prediction
Navy’s offense is the most dangerous unit on the field, led by veteran quarterback Blake Horvath. While his passing role remains limited by design, Horvath gives Navy more flexibility than the traditional option quarterback, with the ability to hit throws when defenses overcommit to the run. His passing yard prop sits at just 109.5, and the Oddschecker+ EV tool highlights value on the over with a 61% AI probability and an 11% edge.
The Midshipmen are also supported by Alex Tecza in the backfield, forming one of the most efficient rushing attacks in the country. Navy leads the nation in rushing at 281 yards per game, a staggering number even by option offense standards. Their ability to control tempo and generate chunk plays on the ground is the biggest reason this total is inflated compared to past seasons.
Army will counter with its own elite rushing identity behind quarterback Cale Hellums, who embodies everything this rivalry represents. Hellums has rushed for over 1,000 yards this season while throwing for roughly 500, scoring touchdowns at a remarkable rate along the way. Army ranks 4th nationally in rushing offense at 254 yards per game and will look to shorten the game by pounding the ball early and often.
Defensively, Army holds the edge on paper, allowing just 21.3 points per game and ranking inside the top 35 nationally. Navy has been far more vulnerable, surrendering over 28 points per game, which has contributed to higher scoring outcomes in several Midshipmen games this season. Neither team has a strong rushing defense statistically, but familiarity with each other’s schemes should reduce busted assignments and force sustained drives instead of quick stops.
Army vs. Navy Pick
- Pick: Army/Navy Over 38.5 Total Points (-110) Check out these best odds on DraftKings Sportsbook
Despite the traditionally low scoring nature of this rivalry, this version of Army Navy features veteran quarterbacks, elite rushing efficiency on both sides, and defenses that have not been as dominant as in past matchups. With the over hitting in 2 of the last 3 meetings and both offenses ranking top 4 nationally in rushing yards per game, this feels like another year where points sneak past expectations. FairPlay AI projects 41 total points, making the over the strongest angle on the board.
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