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Player Prop Specialist John Hyslop is here with the top NFL player prop to bet for Week 13 Thursday night football matchup between the New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys.

TNF Player Props Picks: The Best Bet for New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys

The last time we bet a football game together, we watched Gerald Everett almost single-handedly will the Seahawks to victory. It was truly inspiring stuff, but we need to move on now. We have what I think is the easiest bet we have ever seen starring us in the face. I think it's crazy. Reckless even. But at the end of the day, we don't make the lines. We just bet them and collect the cash afterward. And trust me, we will be collecting cash after this one.

Click Here For Saints vs Cowboys TNF Odds

Taysom Hill Over 32.5 rushing yards (-110)

Line available at BetMGM at time of publishing.

I'm at DraftKings with this one because they messed up badly. While FanDuel did the responsible thing and hung 36.5 for -114, DraftKings went rogue and slapped a 32.5 at -115. That is downright disrespectful. We're talking Taysom Hill here people. Please note, if you're playing at BetMGM, they have not posted anything yet, so be on the lookout.

Word is spreading like wildfire on Twitter that Hill will be under center Thursday night for the Saints. Since it's on Twitter, we know it must be true, so there is that. If you are still skeptical, then I would watch the Thanksgiving game again. It won't take many Trevor Siemian plays before you realize that Sean Payton must be starting Hill this week.

The thing about this one is there really isn't much to go on in terms of line here. That's why we see FanDuel and DraftKings so far off. I'm just going on the four-game stretch last season where Hill took a lot of snaps at quarterback. He ran for at least 33 yards in all of those games. So I wouldn't be surprised to see him take 10+ carries against Dallas.

The Cowboys haven't really given up much in terms of rushing yards to the quarterback position this season, so there is that. The thing is, they haven't really seen one that runs outside of Jalen Hurts. Hurts only went for 35 yards on the ground against them, so there is that, but it was only one game. This is an incredibly low bar for a guy like Hill that will no doubt be looking to carry the rock. I bet he goes for 40+.

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Article Author


John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.


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