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Matt O'Leary gives his picks for Wild Card weekend including three NFL parlays for you to try your luck with.

NFL Picks and Parlays: Top Parlay Picks for Wild Card Games

Oh the NFL playoff, a magical time of year. As a fan of the team with the longest active playoff drought, I never have to sweat it. I just sit back, relax, place some bets and try to enjoy some football between some good teams. Usually, I like to do a moneyline parlay in these, if you're a loyal follower, but with six games I don't have a good feeling on the entire slate.

We'll still do three parlays, but it will be mixed and matched between same-games and other props and such that I like. Without further ado, let's get into the three parlays I'm running with for Wild Card weekend.

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Chiefs vs Steelers Same-Game Parlay

  • Leg 1: Chiefs -12.5
  • Leg 2: Ben Roethlisberger under 244.5 yards
  • Steelers under 2.5 team touchdowns

Odds: +270 (Bet $100 to win $270)

I can't believe we're subjected to watch Ben Roethlisberger in the playoffs in 2022. Like, if this is was seven years ago, it's a completely different story but Ben looks like he's throwing a wet ham at this point. As a result, I think the Chiefs run away with this one. The last time these two teams played it was a 36-10 Chiefs win and I think we're looking somewhere similar in this matchup again.

As for the Roethlisberger passing yards, I mean he's hit 245 yards once in the last five weeks. Over the last four games, Roethlisberger has 4.49 yards per attempt and he's averaging 168.5 yards. Expect him to come in somewhere in the high 100's to low 200's but just in case, we gave ourselves some cushion.

Oh, and the Steelers have scored over 2.5 team touchdowns once in their last five games. Good luck! This one has blowout written all over it.

Mac Jones under 199.5 passing yards + Under 44.5 points (+195) (Bet $100 to win $195)

The New England Patriots have played the Buffalo Bills twice. Combined, in both games, Mac Jones has 164 yards passing. The first time out Bill Belichick had Jones throw just three times and the second time, he went 14 of 32 for 145 yards and two picks against this Bills defense. Buffalo is the number one pass defense in the league, expect them to thrive against the Pats and I'd bet that Bill Belichick goes run-heavy again.

With the under, the only thing that scares me here is Buffalo going on a run. With the weather though, I don't see it. I think it'll be one of those turn football back 100 years game where you're looking at like a 20-13 final with the total coming in well below 44.5 points. The wind chill is going to bring temperatures to minus 10-15.

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49ers + Cowboys over 23.5 points (+140) (Bet $100 to win $140)

The Cowboys and the 49ers is a tough game for me to get a read on in terms of who will come out on top. One thing I am fairly confident with is both teams putting up points in this one. That's why I'm on both the 49ers and the Cowboys to eclipse 23.5 points.

Dallas has the number one offense in football, and they have put up 24 or more 11 of their games on the season. Dak should be able to throw on this 49ers secondary, and while San Fran ranks top-10 in points allowed, it'll be tough to contain this high octane offense. The 49ers defense allowed three other playoff teams with good offenses, Green Bay, Arizona, Los Angeles, to go over 24 points.

With San Fran hitting the number, they've reached it three times in their last five games. Also, I don't love the matchup for the Cowboys defense. I think they'll use the speed of Deebo Samuel to their advantage and they should be able to work the middle of the field in the passing game and run the ball well in this one. Expect a shootout in this one.

Article Author


OddsChecker sports writer Matt O'Leary brings experience sports betting advice to the OC staff. You may recognize Matt from his popular New York Jets youtube channel, but his vast knowledge of sports and betting goes well past the boundaries of New York.

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