Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link
Matt O'Leary gives his picks for Wild Card weekend including three NFL parlays for you to try your luck with.
ANALYSIS

NFL Picks and Parlays: Top Parlay Picks for Wild Card Games

Oh the NFL playoff, a magical time of year. As a fan of the team with the longest active playoff drought, I never have to sweat it. I just sit back, relax, place some bets and try to enjoy some football between some good teams. Usually, I like to do a moneyline parlay in these, if you're a loyal follower, but with six games I don't have a good feeling on the entire slate.

We'll still do three parlays, but it will be mixed and matched between same-games and other props and such that I like. Without further ado, let's get into the three parlays I'm running with for Wild Card weekend.

Click Here For NFL Wild Card Odds

DraftKings logo
Bet $5, Get $150 on the NFL
  • HUGE NFL Odds Boost
  • Get a 30-1 Payout if You Win
  • DraftKings NFL Exclusive

Claim $150 now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Fanduel logo
Get up to $1000 No Sweat Bet
  • $1000 Sweat-Free Bet
  • Win Bigger on All Sports
  • FanDuel Sportsbook Exclusive

CLAIM OFFER
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
 logo
Bet $20, Get $100 in Virginia
  • Bet $20, Get $100 on Any Sport
  • Promo Code GET100
  • Virginia Sports Betting Exclusive

Claim Your $100 Now
T&Cs
BetMGM logo
$1000 Risk Free Bet on ANY Sport
  • $1000 Risk Free Bet
  • For use ANY Sport
  • HUGE First Bet Offer

CLAIM OFFER
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Caesars Sportsbook logo
Wager up to $1,250 and Get Your Stakes Back if You Lose
  • Use Promo Code OCUS1FULL
  • Get Your Stakes Back if You Lose up to $1,250
  • Get 1,000 Reward Credits® and 1,000 Tier Credits

Claim Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs

Chiefs vs Steelers Same-Game Parlay

  • Leg 1: Chiefs -12.5
  • Leg 2: Ben Roethlisberger under 244.5 yards
  • Steelers under 2.5 team touchdowns

Odds: +270 (Bet $100 to win $270)

I can't believe we're subjected to watch Ben Roethlisberger in the playoffs in 2022. Like, if this is was seven years ago, it's a completely different story but Ben looks like he's throwing a wet ham at this point. As a result, I think the Chiefs run away with this one. The last time these two teams played it was a 36-10 Chiefs win and I think we're looking somewhere similar in this matchup again.

As for the Roethlisberger passing yards, I mean he's hit 245 yards once in the last five weeks. Over the last four games, Roethlisberger has 4.49 yards per attempt and he's averaging 168.5 yards. Expect him to come in somewhere in the high 100's to low 200's but just in case, we gave ourselves some cushion.

Oh, and the Steelers have scored over 2.5 team touchdowns once in their last five games. Good luck! This one has blowout written all over it.

Mac Jones under 199.5 passing yards + Under 44.5 points (+195) (Bet $100 to win $195)

The New England Patriots have played the Buffalo Bills twice. Combined, in both games, Mac Jones has 164 yards passing. The first time out Bill Belichick had Jones throw just three times and the second time, he went 14 of 32 for 145 yards and two picks against this Bills defense. Buffalo is the number one pass defense in the league, expect them to thrive against the Pats and I'd bet that Bill Belichick goes run-heavy again.

With the under, the only thing that scares me here is Buffalo going on a run. With the weather though, I don't see it. I think it'll be one of those turn football back 100 years game where you're looking at like a 20-13 final with the total coming in well below 44.5 points. The wind chill is going to bring temperatures to minus 10-15.

Caesars Sportsbook logo
$1100 First Bet Insurance
  • Open a new Caesars Sportsbook account
  • Deposit up to $1100
  • Get your wager insured 100%

Claim Your Insured $1100
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Fanduel logo
$1000 Risk Free Bet
  • Register for a new FanDuel account
  • Deposit up to $1000
  • Get your first deposit matched

Claim Your Risk-Free $1000
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
BetMGM logo
Bet $10, Win $200 If There's A 3-Pointer
  • Deposit $10 into your new BetMGM account
  • Bet $10 on any NBA Moneyline
  • Get $200 if your team scores a three

Claim Your $200 Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
DraftKings logo
Bet $5, Win $200 on the MLB
  • Deposit $5 into your new DraftKings account
  • Bet on any MLB Moneyline
  • Get $200 if your team wins

Claim Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs

49ers + Cowboys over 23.5 points (+140) (Bet $100 to win $140)

The Cowboys and the 49ers is a tough game for me to get a read on in terms of who will come out on top. One thing I am fairly confident with is both teams putting up points in this one. That's why I'm on both the 49ers and the Cowboys to eclipse 23.5 points.

Dallas has the number one offense in football, and they have put up 24 or more 11 of their games on the season. Dak should be able to throw on this 49ers secondary, and while San Fran ranks top-10 in points allowed, it'll be tough to contain this high octane offense. The 49ers defense allowed three other playoff teams with good offenses, Green Bay, Arizona, Los Angeles, to go over 24 points.

With San Fran hitting the number, they've reached it three times in their last five games. Also, I don't love the matchup for the Cowboys defense. I think they'll use the speed of Deebo Samuel to their advantage and they should be able to work the middle of the field in the passing game and run the ball well in this one. Expect a shootout in this one.

Article Author

ROI N/A
NFLNBANHLNCAAFNCAABMLB
insightpicks

OddsChecker sports writer Matt O'Leary brings experience sports betting advice to the OC staff. You may recognize Matt from his popular New York Jets youtube channel, but his vast knowledge of sports and betting goes well past the boundaries of New York.

Expert Handicappers

View all Handicappers
0Betslip

Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.