The Basketball Tournament TBT Odds: AfterShocks Favored to Repeat as Champions in 2026
The 2026 Basketball Tournament futures market is led by defending champion AfterShocks at +430, with Boeheim’s Army, Davis Steel and Heartfire Elite all priced below +600. The Ville follows at +900 after forcing a decisive third game against La Familia behind a dominant Montrezl Harrell performance. Let's take a complete look at The Basketball Tournament TBT winner odds as of Tuesday, July 21st.
Peter Alexis - July 21, 2026, 2:45 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadThe Basketball Tournament TBT Odds: Can Anyone Stop Wichita State Alumni AfterShocks in 2026 TBT?
The Basketball Tournament has entered a new era with a reduced field, separate alumni and non-alumni brackets and a $2 million winner-take-all prize. Opening-round alumni matchups are being contested as best-of-three series before the tournament returns to its familiar single-elimination format.
AfterShocks owns the shortest championship price after winning the 2025 title and beginning its defense with another decisive performance. Boeheim’s Army and The Ville offer recognizable alumni talent, while Davis Steel and Heartfire Elite bring some of the deepest professional rosters in the field.
The Basketball Tournament TBT Odds
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The Basketball Tournament TBT Odds Breakdown
AfterShocks (+430) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
The defending champions strengthened their position as the tournament favorite with a 98-77 victory over The Enchantment in Game 1 of their opening series. AfterShocks now needs one more win at home to reach the single-elimination portion of the bracket.
Markis McDuffie remains the team captain and primary two-way presence, while Marcus Keene and Conner Frankamp give Wichita State’s alumni team multiple proven ballhandlers. Rashard Kelly, Morris Udeze and Marcus Santos-Silva provide the physical interior depth needed to survive against bigger teams.
AfterShocks finished 2025 by defeating Eberlein Drive 82-67 in the championship game. The returning core understands the Elam Ending, has already handled the pressure of a winner-take-all run and looked fully prepared to defend its crown in the opener.
Boeheim’s Army (+480) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Boeheim’s Army begins its tournament against Hall In on Tuesday night, with no early result yet reflected in the futures price. The Syracuse alumni team won the championship in 2021 and remains one of the most experienced brands in TBT history.
Buddy Boeheim and Elijah Hughes headline the returning Syracuse group, but the additions may be even more important. Tyson Walker brings high-level guard play, JaCorey Williams adds an established interior scorer and Ty Nichols joins after scoring 36 points against Boeheim’s Army in last year’s elimination game.
Syracuse opened the 2025 tournament with a 97-71 victory before losing 81-78 to We Are D3 in the Round of 32. That early exit exposed defensive and late-game issues, but the upgraded roster gives Boeheim’s Army considerably more creation and depth this summer.
Davis Steel (+500) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Davis Steel is the new name of Eberlein Drive, the program that reached the 2025 championship game before losing to AfterShocks. Its +500 price reflects both that recent run and a roster filled with players carrying extensive international, G League and NBA experience.
Gabe York is the most dangerous perimeter scorer, while Hassani Gravett and Terrell Brown can organize the offense. Terry Taylor brings NBA-level physicality, Nate Watson supplies traditional size and Cameron McGriff and DJ Rodman give the roster versatile wings.
Davis Steel has not yet played in the 2026 tournament and opens in the Las Vegas non-alumni group stage. The format creates less margin for error than last year’s bracket, but this remains one of the deepest and most balanced teams available near the top of the board.
Heartfire Elite (+550) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
Heartfire Elite enters the tournament with an established championship pedigree after the Heartfire program won TBT in 2023. It also reached the 2025 quarterfinals before losing a competitive 74-68 game to eventual champion AfterShocks.
Craig Sword and Eric Griffin give Heartfire two experienced TBT veterans, while Tevin Mack offers scoring size on the wing. Marcus Hall can control the offense, and Kerem Kanter, Michale Kyser and Marquez Letcher-Ellis provide a long and athletic frontcourt rotation.
Heartfire Elite has not yet played in the Las Vegas group stage. Its +550 price is built largely on organizational history and roster depth, but the team must quickly establish chemistry under coach Mike Rejniak, who guided We Are D3 to last year’s semifinals.
The Ville (+900) Check out these best odds at FanDuel Sportsbook
The Ville enters its decisive Game 3 against La Familia with the most volatile résumé among the top five contenders. Louisville lost the opener 72-68 despite erasing a 17-point deficit, then responded with a commanding 82-62 victory to level the series.
Montrezl Harrell completely changed the matchup in Game 2, scoring 35 points while controlling the paint and delivering the Elam Ending winner. Chris Jones, David Johnson, Russ Smith and Trey Lewis provide veteran guard options, while Malik Williams and Ray Spalding add further frontcourt size.
The Ville entered the 2025 tournament as a No. 1 seed and defeated Boston vs. Cancer 91-71 before suffering a 73-63 upset against Sideline Cancer in the Round of 32. Louisville remains one loss away from elimination, but its +900 price could shorten sharply if Harrell produces another dominant performance in Game 3.
TBT Futures Market Outlook
AfterShocks deserves favorite status after winning last year’s title and immediately posting a 21-point victory in its 2026 opener. The defending champions possess continuity, home-court support and the deepest collection of players with recent experience winning under the Elam Ending.
Davis Steel may have the strongest pure professional roster, while Boeheim’s Army has added enough scoring to correct last year’s early exit. Heartfire Elite remains a proven tournament operation, and The Ville offers the most immediate movement opportunity because one strong Game 3 performance could send its +900 number much shorter.
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