NFL Week 6 Best Player Props: George Pickens and the WR Prop Watch List
NFL Week 6 Best Player Props: George Pickens and the WR Prop Watch List
We're going on a wide receiver watch which is my favorite position to bet. There is just way too much variance for the books to allow ladder bets, but they still let us do it. It's glorious, and we should thank them when we get a chance. It's the right thing to do. This week there are more than a few guys that fit the profile, and in the next day or so, we'll start firing off actual bets. We just need the alt lines to be posted at FanDuel. So far, there are a few numbers at DraftKings, which gives us an idea of what we could get at the other shops, but for the most part, secondary options are not available at the moment. Still, we can dream. They can never take our dreams from us. Those are ours.
Week 6 Wide Reciever Watch
Rondale Moore - Arizona Cardinals
This guy is finally back from injury, and he looks pretty good. Sure he didn't do much in his first week back, but what do you want from the guy? He was playing for the first time in a while. Then last week, he turned in a 7-68 stat line, which is all we've been waiting to see. I know what you're thinking. He only got 68 yards. The thing is, he did it on 38.5 line. His 50+ and 60+ had to be plus money. And even though he covered last week, he didn't have a big enough game to make his line go up too much. I would think 50+ is still playable this week if we get a good number.
The reason it's playable is that the Seattle Seahawks are on deck for the Cardinals. It's pretty crazy to say this, but Seattle has one of the best offenses in the NFL this season. Geno Smith is their quarterback, and he's balling. They are playing pretty fast, too, which is wild, but I'd expect all this to mean that they will score points. If that happens, the Cardinals will be playing the kind of game we want them to, which is through the air, and the Seahawks don't defend that very well. In fact, no team in the NFL gives up more yards per completion than they do. This puts Marquise Brown in play as well as Moore, but I'm more interested to see what FanDuel has to say about Moore in the alt-line market this week.
George Pickens - Pittsburgh Steelers
It feels like we're a week late on this guy, but honestly, as long as his receiving yards number is in the 40s, I'd say play him. It's nice to get a 50+ plus money number on a guy who could be targeted 7+ times. If you've seen him play, you know doesn't need a ton of volume to get home on that number. Over the last two weeks, he's cashed 80+ in both weeks. The week before last against the Jets, he cashed his 90+ and 100+. Yeah, get some.
This week he has the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and while they have a pretty good pass defense, I don't think that matters. Pickens just came off of an 80+ game against the Buffalo Bills last week. Being afraid of defenses really doesn't apply to Pickens. The Steelers are likely to get their asses kicked this weekend (again), and that means garbage time for quarterback, Kenny Pickett and the rest of the Steelers. There's not much better than garbage time covers in this game we play. We could get to the moon again this week with Pickens, and it's like the books don't even care since they have his standard line in the 40s again.
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Article Author
John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.