Top Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks for Broncos vs. Chiefs on Monday Night Football - September 14th
The Denver Broncos visit the Kansas City Chiefs for an AFC West showdown on Monday Night Football at Arrowhead Stadium, with both offenses entering the opener under unusual quarterback circumstances. Can Kenneth Walker III, Jaylen Waddle and Denver’s backfield create enough high-value opportunities in what could become a defensive game? Check out these Broncos vs. Chiefs 3 anytime touchdown scorer picks for Monday, September 14.
Peter Alexis - September 14, 2026, 5:30 PM EDT
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Denver and Kansas City close the week in a matchup that looks considerably less appealing for touchdown volume than many of the higher-scoring games on the slate. Sean Payton and Andy Reid are two of the league’s most methodical offensive tacticians, and there is a strong case for both coaches protecting their quarterbacks rather than immediately turning this into an aggressive downfield shootout.
Bo Nix and Patrick Mahomes are each returning from significant leg injuries, which could produce more conservative early play calling, shorter throws and an increased emphasis on the running game. Rather than expecting touchdowns to pile up, the better approach is to identify a few players with realistic red-zone paths and attractive enough prices to sprinkle on individually.
Broncos vs. Chiefs Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Monday, September 14th, 2026
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
- How to Watch: ESPN, ABC
Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds
- Spread: Denver Broncos +2.5, Kansas City Chiefs -2.5
- Total Points: Over 42.5, Under 42.5
- Moneyline: Denver Broncos +110, Kansas City Chiefs -130
Click here for the latest Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds
Broncos vs. Chiefs Best Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks
1. Kenneth Walker III Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-110) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Walker carries the shortest price of the three, but his expected role makes him the most straightforward touchdown option. Kansas City has every reason to lean on its running game while Mahomes works his way back into regular-season action, particularly if Denver’s pass rush can create pressure and discourage longer-developing concepts.
The recent touchdown trend is not overwhelming, with Walker scoring in only three of his last 10 games, but the projection remains favorable. His 54.08% AI probability is slightly higher than the 52.38% implied probability at -110, producing 3.24% expected value.
This is also the type of game script that can increase his touchdown equity even without a huge offensive night. Kansas City does not need to score four or five touchdowns for Walker to cash. If the Chiefs manufacture only two or three legitimate red-zone possessions, the primary running back should have a strong chance to handle one of the most valuable touches.
2. Jaylen Waddle Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+220) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Waddle is the more explosive Denver option at +220. His recent touchdown rate sits at only three scores across his last 10 games, but this is a market where one chunk play can completely bypass the need for repeated red-zone opportunities.
That explosiveness should matter against Kansas City. If Denver takes a conservative approach with Nix early, Waddle can still generate touchdown chances through manufactured touches, yards after the catch and occasional play-action shots rather than requiring Nix to consistently attack downfield.
The price also carries a meaningful projection advantage. Waddle is given a 35.55% AI probability compared to just 31.25% implied probability, creating 13.76% EV. In a game where touchdowns may be limited, +220 is much easier to justify as a small sprinkle than paying a premium for several short-priced scorers.
3. RJ Harvey Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+340) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Harvey is the longest shot of the group and arguably the most interesting pure value play. He has scored in five of his last 10 games, and that stretch includes a touchdown at Kansas City on December 25, giving him a recent example of converting against this same divisional opponent.
The biggest concern is workload. Harvey does not need to dominate Denver’s backfield, however, if Payton continues finding specialized ways to get him involved near the goal line or as a receiver. That versatility becomes especially useful with Nix returning from injury because designed touches to the backs can reduce the amount of stress placed on the quarterback.
The model is especially aggressive on Harvey, assigning him a 34.85% scoring probability against only 22.73% implied probability at +340. That creates 53.34% EV, easily the largest discrepancy of the three options. In a matchup where the expectation is fewer touchdowns overall, Harvey is exactly the type of longer-priced secondary option worth sprinkling on rather than forcing exposure to several heavy favorites.
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