Men’s Olympic Golf Predictions: Day One Three-Ball Predictions & Picks

Men's Olympic Golf 3-ball picks for Round 1 of the Olympic tournament in Japan
Brian Good
Tue, July 27, 12:37 PM EDT

Men’s Olympic Golf Predictions: Day One Three-Ball Predictions & Picks

Betting on a golfer throughout the life of a tournament can be exhausting. But, if you’re looking for quicker results and a way to make some cash early on in the tournament, 3-ball betting is for you.

You can find our traditional men's Olympic Golf predictions from Geoff Fienberg, Rick Gehman, Sam Eaton and Joe Idone here, but I’ll be breaking down my 3-ball picks for Round 1 in Japan.

The entire Olympic golf tournament will be played at the Kasumigaseki Country Club East Course. We don’t know a ton about how it will look or what condition it will be in, but we do know it’s a par-71 course that plays at 7,466 yards with a 131 slope and a 74.9 rating.

We also know that there is some serious weather expected to hit Japan this week/weekend. So, it may be a tough road ahead for some of these golfers as winds could force the course to play even longer.

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Men’s Olympic Golf Three-Ball Predictions & Picks

Shane Lowry to beat Patrick Reed, Tommy Fleetwood @ +187

I, like every other American that has watched him play in an international event, love Patrick Reed when he’s wearing the stars and stripes. His showdown with Rory McIlroy on Sunday of the 2016 Ryder Cup goes down as one of my favorite golf events to watch, ever. But I think we’re asking a bit much of him here.

As of a few days ago, Reed was not supposed to participate in the Olympics. But, here he is. Two weeks ago he was at Royal St. George’s, playing in the British Open. On Sunday, he finished T34 at the 3M Open in Blaine, Minnesota and now, he’s in Tokyo playing in the Olympics.

If he had some group filled with no-named golfers that he may be able to sneak by, I’d like his chances. But, Shane Lowry and Tommy Fleetwood are not that. I like Lowry to keep up his good form of late in Round 1 and even compete for a medal this weekend.

Collin Morikawa to beat Rory McIlroy, Sungjae Im @ +130

How can I possibly bet against the guy who I consider to be the best golfer in the world right now? I can’t.

If you aren’t paying attention to just how historically good Collin Morikawa is, you should start. The 24-year old has already won two majors, including this year’s British Open where he held off a surging Jordan Spieth down the stretch.

He’s great off the tee and his putting has improved tremendously as of late, but his iron play is some of the best we’ve ever seen. He’s first on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach and the distance between him and the 2nd best on Tour in that same stat is the same as the distance between 2nd and 57th.

He could be going up against Dustin Johnson and Jon Rahm and I’d still put my money on Morikawa. Rory McIlroy and Sungjae Im aren’t going to stop me here.

Si Woo Kim to beat Rasmus Hojgaard, Romain Langasque @ +125

This may very well be a sucker’s bet. I don’t know much about Hojgaard and Langasque, but I do know that Si Woo Kim is playing for a military exemption and that may be the best story to follow at the Olympics, outside of who wins gold.

If you hadn’t heard, all South Korean males are required to serve 20 months in the military by the time they turn 28. However, if they win an Olympic medal they can receive an exemption from their service-time requirement.

Si Woo Kim and Sungjae Im both withdrew from The Open to focus on the Olympics. Unfortunately for Im, he has one of the hardest draws in the opening round for a 3-ball grouping. But Si Woo Kim is playing alongside two golfers he should beat anyway, with a lot more on the line than them. I like Si Woo Kim to win this matchup.

Corey Conners to beat Hideki Matsuyama, Marc Leishman @ +187

I saved my favorite play of the entire opening day 3-ball picks for last. I love Corey Conners in this matchup and I even love him to contend for a medal. I think the Canadian is criminally underrated and if he gets a decent week putting he’ll be on the podium.

Conners is 9th on Tour in SG: Off-The-Tee, 9th in SG: Approach, 13th in SG Tee-To-Green and 17th in total strokes gained. He is one of the most consistent golfers on Tour, we’re just waiting for him to put it all together.

The reason I think this weekend, and more specifically the first round, could be it is because he’s going against Hideki Matsuyama, who is a hugely popular pick this at the Olympics among the betting public.

Not only do I get a golfer I love here in Conners, but I get to fade the public at the same time. If anything, Leishman causes me more of a worry here.

Brian Good
BeGood1219
Brian is a sports journalist with close to ten years of experience in the business. A lifelong Philadelphia sports fan with a passion for the all things sports gambling.
Sep 2021
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