Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest US Open Final Odds for Saturday, September 12th
Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina meet Saturday with the US Open title on the line. Can Sabalenka complete a three-peat against the opponent who defeated her in this year’s Australian Open final? Check out this Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina prediction and best bet for Saturday, September 12.
Peter Alexis - September 12, 2026, 1:20 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadAryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina Prediction: Can Sabalenka Defend 2025 US Open Title on Saturday Afternoon?
Aryna Sabalenka faces Elena Rybakina in Saturday’s US Open women’s final at Arthur Ashe Stadium. Sabalenka enters as a modest -138 favorite, while Rybakina returns +113 in a championship matchup between two of the sport’s most powerful ball-strikers.
Sabalenka is seeking her third consecutive US Open title, but Rybakina has already demonstrated that she can beat her on a Grand Slam final stage. Their contrasting semifinal performances add another dimension, with Sabalenka advancing in straight sets while Rybakina recovered from an early deficit.
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina Odds
- Moneyline: Sabalenka (-138), Rybakina (+115)
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, September 12th, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET
- Where to Watch: ESPN
Click here for complete Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina Odds
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina Prediction
Sabalenka defeated Jessica Pegula 7-5, 6-2, negotiating a competitive opening set before establishing greater control. That progression is encouraging against another opponent capable of holding serve comfortably for extended stretches. Sabalenka does not need to dominate immediately, but she must stay composed through the periods when Rybakina gives her few return opportunities.
Rybakina rallied past Coco Gauff 3-6, 6-4, 6-4, demonstrating the resilience that makes her dangerous even when she starts behind. Her first serve can prevent Sabalenka from establishing sustained pressure, and her flat groundstrokes allow her to match the favorite’s pace. Sabalenka’s opportunity comes on second serves, where aggressive returns can stop Rybakina from controlling the opening shot of the rally.
Their major meetings this season show how narrow the separation can be. Rybakina won the Australian Open final in three sets, but Sabalenka responded by winning their Indian Wells final in a deciding tiebreak and their Miami semifinal in straight sets. Those results support Sabalenka’s ability to adjust, particularly when she combines attacking returns with enough margin to avoid handing away points in short exchanges.
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina Best Bet
- Best Bet: Sabalenka Moneyline (-138) Check out the best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Sabalenka’s strong semifinal performance and recent championship success in New York provide the foundation for the selection. Rybakina has enough serving power to make this uncomfortable, so the moneyline is preferable to requiring a particular score. Back Sabalenka to create slightly more pressure in the decisive return games and finish another US Open title run.
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