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With the 2026/27 Premier League season just weeks away, the relegation market has tightened as squads finalize transfers, preseason form becomes clearer, and early‑season fixtures begin to shape expectations. Hull open as strong favourites for the drop, while Coventry and Ipswich sit close behind after promotion.
Sunderland, Fulham, and Crystal Palace form the mid‑tier, while several established clubs — including Leeds, Forest, Brentford, Bournemouth, and Everton — remain firmly in the conversation.
The biggest shock on the board is Manchester City at +1200, a number that reflects not on‑pitch relegation risk but the lingering uncertainty surrounding the club’s 115 Premier League charges, which could — in a worst‑case scenario — lead to a points deduction and therefore introduce a purely mathematical, long‑shot relegation possibility. Newcastle also appear at +2200, and bettors have taken notice.
Public sentiment over the last seven days:
33% backing Newcastle
11% backing Hull
7% backing Leeds
A clear sign that bettors are exploring deeper value rather than simply backing the favourites.
Hull — -400
Coventry — -163
Ipswich — -150
Hull’s price reflects squad depth concerns and a difficult opening fixture list. Coventry and Ipswich sit close behind as newly promoted sides adjusting to Premier League pace.
Sunderland — +300
Fulham — +550
Crystal Palace — +600
Leeds — +700
Nottingham Forest — +800
These clubs have enough quality to stay up but face structural or depth issues that could pull them into the fight.
Brentford — +900
Bournemouth — +1200
Everton — +1200
Each has shown survival resilience in recent seasons, but squad turnover and defensive inconsistency keep them in the mix.
Manchester City — +1200
Newcastle — +2200
These prices are mathematical outliers — not reflective of realistic relegation probability — but they still attract speculative betting volume.
Recent betting activity shows surprising interest in deeper‑priced clubs:
Newcastle (33%) — bettors targeting long‑shot value at +2200.
Hull (11%) — backing the favourites after a difficult preseason outlook.
Leeds (7%) — interest driven by squad turnover and early fixtures.
The rest of the action is spread across mid‑tier clubs like Palace, Forest, and Fulham.
Hull, Coventry, and Ipswich face the steepest adjustment curve.
Teams with poor xGA trends often drift toward the bottom.
A tough opening month can dramatically shorten relegation odds.
Injuries during the winter period often decide survival.
Relegation markets vary significantly across sportsbooks.
Oddschecker compares prices across the leading US sportsbooks:
These operators consistently offer strong Premier League futures markets, including relegation odds, top‑four odds, title odds, and season‑long props.
With Hull, Coventry, and Ipswich leading the relegation board — and mid‑tier clubs like Sunderland, Fulham, Palace, and Leeds close behind — the 2026/27 Premier League survival race is shaping up to be one of the most unpredictable in years. Oddschecker keeps you updated with real‑time prices, betting trends, and market movement as the new season approaches.
