How are bettors predicting the Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson fight to play out?
It's finally time. Jake Paul and Mike Tyson will take to the ring in the AT&T Stadium in Texas in the early hours of Saturday morning (in the UK).
The fight, which will be sanctioned as a professional match, will contribute to both fighters records with Jake Paul looking for his 11th win while Mike Tyson will aim to make it 51 wins in 57 fights.
The biggest question lingering over this blockbuster bout is whether a 58-year-old Mike Tyson has the speed and power to keep up with a 27-year-old Paul.
Tyson's last professional fight was almost two decades ago when he was defeated by Kevin McBride in 2005.
In 2020, Mike Tyson returned to the ring for an eight-round exhibition against Roy Jones Jr. at the Staples Center in Los Angeles. However, the fight followed modified rules for safety, including shorter rounds and heavier gloves.
Paul, meanwhile, has fought twice already this year, defeating MMA fighter Mike Perry and semi-retired cruiserweight boxer Ryan Bourland.
Predictions are divided. Some, like Lennox Lewis and Roy Jones Jr., believe Tyson's experience will prevail. Others, like Bob Arum and Anthony Joshua, think Paul's youth and stamina will be decisive.
Lets take a look at what bettors are prediction will happen as we get closer to the first bell.
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Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Prediction
The most popular markets for the Jake Paul fight include Round Betting, Method Of Victory, Will Fight Go The Distance, Total Rounds and Draw No Bet.
Below is a look at how the bets taken through oddschecker in the last week are shared on each of these markets.
Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Winner Prediction
| Result | Percentage of Bets | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Tyson | 64% | 12/5 |
| Draw | 6.4% | 10/1 |
| Jake Paul | 30% | 8/13 |
Whether Tyson truly is the underdog in this fight or not it seems oddschecker bettors see him as the value bet in this bout at 12/5 with AKBets.
At 58, Mike Tyson has showcased a physique that rivals his prime years and if his boxing prowess is anywhere near the level it was in his heyday then Jake Paul could be in for a tough time in the ring.
Ricky Hatton has emphasised Tyson's fitness and lingering knockout power—the force behind his record of 50 wins, 44 by KO in his heyday - and it seems punters are gambling on him retaining some of that.
Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Round Prediction
| Round / Outcome | % of Bets | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Tyson Round 1 | 19.9% | 14/1 |
| Mike Tyson Round 3 | 10.2% | 18/1 |
| Mike Tyson Round 4 | 10.2% | 25/1 |
| Mike Tyson by Decision | 10.2% | 12/1 |
Tyson to finish the fight in the earlier rounds are the most popular bets made through oddschecker with a first round win at a best price of 14/1 with various bookmakers including bet365.
Tyson’s iconic reputation for starting fights aggressively - showcased by the fact that 43% of his fights ended in a first round KO for the heavyweight - makes an early win an attractive bet for punters.
Iron Mike infamously knocked out an undefeated Larry Spinks in just 91 seconds in what was perhaps one of the most defining moments of his career.
Additionally, Tyson's age (58) and time away from professional fighting could mean he’ll aim for a quick, powerful start rather than risk a long bout.
Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Method of Victory Prediction
| Method of Victory | % of Bets | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Tyson by KO, TKO, or Disqualification | 41.1% | 11/4 |
| Jake Paul by KO, TKO, or Disqualification | 33.9% | 6/4 |
The trend of Tyson being backed to win continues in the method of victory market with Tyson being backed in 41% of bets to win by KO, TKO, or Disqualification at 11/4 with Betfred.
Tyson is known for his explosive power and knockout ability, with 44 of his 50 career wins coming by knockout.
The former unified heavyweight champion has said himself he will look to knockout his opponent stating "If I don't have to catch him, you can expect a Round 1 knockout".
Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Will The Fight Go The Distance Prediction
| Fight To Go The Distance | % of Bets | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61% | 13/8 |
| No | 39% | 8/15 |
The majority of bets are backing the fight to go the distance in this market with 61% backing yes at odds of 13/8 with BetVictor.
Four of the last eight of Jake Paul's professional fights have gone the distance and bettors are predicting this to be the case once again in this fight.
The fight’s rules contribute to this prediction; they’ll be using 14-oz gloves, which lessen the force of punches and reduce the likelihood of an early knockout.
Additionally, the fight will feature shorter, two-minute rounds instead of the standard three, further limiting the potential for high-intensity action that could lead to an early finish.
Another contributing factor to the popularity of this bet is Mike Tyson's age and physical limitation which might force the heavy hitter to be a bit more cautious. Equally, Paul will fear the knockout power of Tyson which might just be a recipe for a tentative fight.
