Is the top four decided after 11 games?

We look down the Premier League years to see if the race for the top four is likely to be decided already

Is the top four decided after 11 games?

The race for the top four this season looks to be as closely contested as we have seen for a while in the Premier League. The bookies give six teams a chance of getting there, with Man United longest price at 15/8 and their Manchester rivals as short as 1/10. Liverpool, Chelsea, Arsenal and Tottenham make up the six, with Everton following the pack at 16/1.

Team Top 4 Odds Current Position
Manchester City 1/7 3rd
Liverpool 1/5 1st
Chelsea 1/4 2nd
Arsenal 4/9 4th
Tottenham 6/4 5th
Manchester United 15/8 6th

2008/09 and 2010/11 were the only seasons whereby the top four was decided after 11 games, both of which saw Man United win the title.If you’re a red devil, don’t be too disheartened by your poor start as six times United have finished in the top four after being outside it after matchday 11, as have old enemies Arsenal and Liverpool.

Team Top 4 Finishes After Being Outside It After 11 Games Season(s)
Manchester United 6 1992/93, 1996/97, 2001/02, 2004/05, 2005/06, 2014/15
Liverpool 6 1994/95, 1997/98, 2001/02, 2005/06, 2006/07, 2007/08
Arsenal 6 2001/02, 2005/06, 2006/07, 2001/12, 2012/13, 2014/15
Tottenham 3 2009/10, 2011/12, 2015/16
Aston Villa 2 1992/93, 1995/96
Newcastle 2 1993/94, 2002/03
Leeds 2 1998/99, 2000/01
Blackburn 1 1998/99
Chelsea 1 1993/94

Liverpool can boast the two biggest points turn arounds. In both the 1999/00 and 2005/06 seasons they were 8 and 7 points adrift off the top four respectively and still managed to secure themselves a top 4 spot. Quite the achievement. Could their rivals Everton pull of a similar feat this season? 25/1 says they can.

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