Who are the most profitable Premier League teams to follow?

Who are the most profitable Premier League teams to follow?

Who are the most profitable sides to follow in the Premier League? oddschecker have crunched the numbers to reveal who to back and who to avoid.

When it comes to betting on Premier League football, it pays to stay in touch with betting trends that have permeated the season.

Short price favourites losing, long odds against winners, teams consistently punching above their weight – it’s all going on in England’s top division.

But, who is the most profitable team to back? oddschecker has compiled the data from each Prem club’s home and away form, as well as their net profit and loss (£20 per stake).

Premier League profitability table:

Team Home P/L Away P/L Net P/L
Wolves 17.8 502.8 520.6
Newcastle 99 284 383
Liverpool 125 99.6 224.6
Burnley 77 140 217
Norwich 334 -120 214
Man United 74.2 107.6 181.8
Southampton -114.8 268.8 154
Crystal Palace -24.8 168 143.2
Sheffield United 30 39 69
Bournemouth -42.8 98 55.2
Leicester 22 13.2 35.2
West Ham -75.8 62.6 -13.2
Chelsea -88.6 28 -60.6
Man City -40.2 -52.6 -92.8
Watford 92.8 -188.6 -95.8
Everton 22 -149.4 -127.4
Tottenham 43.4 -177.6 -134.2
Aston Villa 2.2 -149 -146.8
Brighton -66.8 -91 -157.8
Arsenal -56.6 -181.8 -238.4

Most profitable team

Wolves have punched above their weight since entering the Premier League in 2018 and have been crowned the most profitable team to back.

If you consistently placed £20 Nuno Espirito Santo’s side every game this season, you’d have a whopping £520 sitting in your account.

That’s almost entirely due to their stunning away profit, with £20 on every game away from Molineux paying £502.80.

Newcastle’s surprisingly stable season sees them take second place in the profitability table, with a whopping profit of £383.

Liverpool have been favourites for every game this season, and despite their consistent short prices, are the third most profitable team to back.

£20 placed on Liverpool to win every game would see you with £224.60 profit.

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Least profitable team

These have been the teams you should have avoided backing from the start of the season.

Dragging up the rear of the table is Arsenal. If you backed the Gunners with £20 every game so far this season, you would have lost £238.40. Bad Ebening.

Mikel Arteta’s appointment back in November hasn’t boosted them up the profitability table. You would have lost £181.80 if you backed them in every away game this season.

Dangling perilously above the drop zone, Brighton are second bottom of the table, although with a more even spread on home and away.

Overall, if you backed Graham Potter’s side every game this season you would have lost £238.40.

Despite somehow being in profit for their home ties, Aston Villa’s shocking away form means they complete the bottom three.

You would have lost £146.80 on backing Villa every week, with a £149 loss from backing every away game.

The surprises

Looking at the profitability table, there are a number of huge outliers within the data.

Southampton, for example, are chalk and cheese when playing at St Mary’s and away from home.

If you backed the Saints in every home game – you’d have lost £114.80. If you backed them in every away game, you’d have a whopping profit of £268.80.

Despite being seen to be having an average season by fans and spectators, Manchester United have actually punched above their bookmaker estimations.

£74 in profit for all home ties and £107.60 for all away ties contribute to a total profit of £181.80 profit if you backed Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side every game this season.

oddschecker comment:

Oddschecker spokesperson Callum Wilson: “If you want some profitability, beating Manchester City twice certainly helps in this regard, and that's exactly what Wolves have done this season.

“Wolves were priced as 20/1 shots heading to the Etihad and were on average 4.6/1 when travelling away this season.

“As for Arsenal, just nine victories all campaign certainly hasn't helped their cause, particularly when most of these victories have come against lower-table opposition.

“That’s despite the Gunner’s average home price being around 1/1 and accumulating an average price of 1.88/1 away from the Emirates.”

You'll find all the best tips and previews for the return of the Premier League in our football tips section.

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