This week’s Premier League betting roundup from WhoScored.com covers Everton's dire away record and why Roberto Firmino can step up against one of his favourite opponents.
Liverpool vs Watford
A clean sheet is the order of the day
Liverpool have kept nine clean sheets in their 14 league matches at Anfield this season - no team in the Premier League team has kept more at home in 2021/22 - while Watford have netted just 15 times in 15 away games this term. A clean sheet for Liverpool is on the cards, right?
Liverpool have won five of the last six meetings between the pair, Watford winning the other, with a clean sheet kept in those six games. The Reds have conceded just seven home goals in their 14 league games on Merseyside, so it wouldn't be a shock to see Jurgen Klopp's side shut out Watford on Saturday (best price 4/5).
Watford among Roberto Firmino's favourites
Roberto Firmino may not be first choice frontman for Liverpool this season. The Brazilian has been leapfrogged by Diogo Jota as the central striker for Klopp's side, with Firmino restricted to just eight league starts.
That said, with Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane both forced to extra time for Egypt and Senegal, respectively, on Tuesday, Klopp may see the welcome of Watford as the perfect chance to rest either or both on Saturday ahead of next week's trip to Benfica, which would benefit Firmino.
He has scored eight goals in 10 league meetings with the Hornets (best price 13/10 to score anytime tomorrow), making Watford his second favourite Premier League opponent.
Burnley vs Manchester City
Riyad Mahrez to add to fine record against Burnley?
Manchester City have an excellent record against Burnley, winning the last nine meetings between the two sides. A key player in their run against the Clarets has been Riyad Mahrez. The Algerian is level with Raheem Sterling on 10 league goals as City's joint-top scorer in the Premier League this season and he'll look to add to that record at Turf Moor.
Mahrez (26/25 to score anytime) has scored eight league goals against Burnley in 11 career appearances, marking the Clarets as his favourite opponents. Sean Dyche's side have a solid defensive record at home, but that'll be put to the test against the league leaders.
City likely to shut Burnley out
Like Liverpool, City have kept 17 clean sheets this season, the joint-best in the Premier League. They haven't conceded a league goal away from home since Kyle Walker-Peters netted the opener in City's 1-1 draw with Southampton in January, keeping away clean sheets in meetings with Norwich, Everton and Crystal Palace.
Data from WhoScored.com confirms that they have kept a clean sheet in eight of their last nine competitive meetings against Burnley, with Robbie Brady the only player to break City's resolve in that run - a late consolation in a 4-1 win in December 2019.
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West Ham vs Everton
Everton's dire away record
Everton started the season brightly under Rafa Benitez, but the campaign unraveled after the October international break, which ultimately cost the Spaniard his job. Their fortunes haven't improved since Frank Lampard succeeded Benitez and they now sit just three points above the relegation zone, albeit with two games in hand over 18th-placed Watford.
A key reason for their fall down the table has been their dire away record. Everton have earned the fewest away points (six) in the Premier League this season and are one of two teams yet to win multiple away matches this term.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin's timely return
Despite starting just nine league matches this season, only Demarai Gray (five) and Richarlison (four) have scored more league goals than Dominic Calvert-Lewin (three). The striker's return to fitness is timely for the Toffees as they seek to pull away from danger.
Even with Everton's poor away record this season, they have returned to Merseyside from the London Stadium with a positive result on their last three visits to the capital, picking up seven points from nine available. Calvert-Lewin has scored their last two league goals at West Ham, so his availability is a huge boost for Everton - he's 12/5 to score anytime.
