FPL Heisenberg presents the key probabilities for your Gameweek 6 FPL conundrums according to the latest odds through oddschecker.
Are you rolling a transfer? Wildcarding after a disappointing score in Gameweek 5? Or simply eyeing up Erling Haaland's in-form strike partner?
Here are the key probabilities for your GW6 FPL conundrums.
Captain Sensible – Can Alvarez rival Haaland against Forest?
| Player | Goal | Assist | Goal Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Haaland | 71.4% | 28.6% | 100% |
| Alvarez | 41.7% | 28.6% | 70.3% |
Captain Verdict: Don't overthink it or try and be clever this week, it has to be Erling Haaland.
Keeper Change – Looking to ditch Pickford in GW6?
| Team | Keeper | Clean Sheet |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford (EVE Home) | Flekken | 40% |
| Man United (BUR Away) | Onana | 33.3% |
| Chelsea (AVL Home) | Sanchez | 32.3% |
| Fulham (CPL Away) | Leno | 23.1% |
| West Ham (LIV Away) | Areola | 9.1% |
Keeper Verdict: Flekken looks good for this week. If you're looking for a solid long term GK rotation then Flekken/Areola or Leno/Areola looks solid.
Double Defence? How many Newcastle defenders do you need?
| Team | Clean Sheet |
|---|---|
| Man City (NFO Home) | 57.1% |
| Newcastle (SHU Away) | 44.4% |
| Brighton (BOU Home) | 38.1% |
| Chelsea (AVL Home) | 32.3% |
| Arsenal (TOT Home) | 32.3% |
| Luton (WOL Home) | 25% |
| Aston Villa (CHE Away) | 18.2% |
| Spurs (ARS Away) | 14.3% |
Defensive Verdict: If you're looking to double on defenders look no further than Newcastle, their defenders offer great value and the long term fixtures are solid.
Midfield U-Turn – Son straight back out? Or wildcard for Salah?
| Player | Goal | Assist | Goal Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salah (WHU Home) | 50% | 30.3% | 80.3% |
| Foden (NFO Home) | 32.3% | 33.3% | 65.6% |
| Rashford (BUR Away) | 41.7% | 20% | 61.7% |
| Saka (TOT Home) | 31.3% | 29.4% | 60.7% |
| Sterling (AVL Home) | 36.4% | 20% | 56.4% |
| Fernandes (BUR Away) | 27.8% | 26.7% | 54.5% |
| Son (ARS Away) | 27% | 15.4% | 42.4% |
| Maddison (ARS Away) | 22.2% | 20% | 42.2% |
| Diaby (CHE Away) | 23.1% | 16.7% | 39.8% |
Midfield Verdict: Salah is tempting, but don't rip up your team just to squeeze him in. I'll personally be using my Free Transfers wisely over the next couple of Gameweeks to get him in then.
Clean sheet and anytime goal probabilities in the tables above are taken from best prices at the time of writing through oddschecker, where you can compare odds from 25+ UK bookmakers.
