We analyse the AFCON winner odds after pre-tournament favourites Senegal and Morocco are eliminated in the Round of 16.
Following Morocco’s defeat to South Africa last night and Senegal’s penalty defeat to hosts Ivory Coast, Nigeria and Ivory Coast are the new favourites to win AFCON 2023 as we enter the quarter-final stage of the tournament.
Nigeria got past previous hosts Cameroon to book their spot in the quarter-finals whereas it took a penalty shoot-out to edge Ivory Coast ahead of Senegal. Should they both win their quarter final and potential semi-final matches, they will not meet until the final due to how the tournament tree is laid out.
Other notable quarter-finalists include World Cup 2010 hosts South Africa, who beat pre-tournament favourites and 2022 World Cup semi-finalists Morocco 2-0 in their last game - a major shock considering South Africa didn’t even qualify for the last AFCON tournament.
Egypt also went out without winning a single game, drawing all their group stage matches and losing on penalties to DR Congo.
AFCON Winner Odds
| Name | Best Price | Worst Price |
|---|---|---|
| Nigeria | 2/1 | 7/4 |
| Ivory Coast | 3/1 | 2/1 |
| Mali | 6/1 | 5/1 |
| DR Congo | 12/1 | 9/1 |
| Cape Verde | 14/1 | 11/1 |
AFCON Golden Boot Odds
| Name | Best Price | Worst Price |
|---|---|---|
| Emilio Nsue | 4/9 | 2/5 |
| Gelson Dala | 5/2 | 9/4 |
| Agostinho Mabululu | 11/1 | 10/1 |
| Victor Osimhen | 12/1 | 10/1 |
| Ademola Lookman | 16/1 | 14/1 |
Emilio Nsue still leads the AFCON goalscoring charts with his five goals for Equatorial Guinea. He is a best price of 4/9 with Sky Bet to win the Golden Boot. Equatorial Guinea are out of the tournament, so this will depend on what the other players left in the tournament can do.
Gelson Dala of Angola is in second at a best price of 5/2, having scored four goals so far. Angola face Nigeria in their quarter-final game, which might be a hard chance for Dala to get on the scoresheet.
Other names prop up the top five, such as fellow Angolan player Agostinho Mabululu (three goals) at a best price of 11/1, Nigerian players Victor Osimhen (one goal) and Ademola Lookman (two goals) at best prices of 12/1 and 16/1 respectively. The Nigeria vs Angola match will prove decisive to see who will progress.
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AFCON Quarter Final Ties
Here are the upcoming quarter-final ties from AFCON 2023.
| Date | UK Time | Game |
|---|---|---|
| 02/02/2024 | 5pm | Nigeria vs Angola |
| 02/02/2024 | 8pm | DR Congo vs Guinea |
| 03/02/2024 | 5pm | Mali vs Ivory Coast |
| 03/02/2024 | 8pm | Cape Verde vs South Africa |
