Transfer Odds: January's likeliest deals according to next club markets

Transfer Odds: January's likeliest deals according to next club markets

The three most likely January transfers according to the bookmakers.

The January transfer window is set to open on January 1, 2025, and it looks set to be one to remember.

With key players like Marcus Rashford hinting at a potential departure from Manchester United, the future of Liverpool's Trent Alexander-Arnold also hanging in the balance, and Sporting CP’s star forward Viktor Gyökeres drawing interest from top clubs, this window promises high-profile moves.

As clubs like Arsenal, United, and PSG look to strengthen their squads, expect plenty of drama and big-money deals as we head into the business end of the season.

Make sure you keep up to date with the latest odds in January here.

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Marcus Rashford Transfer Odds

1. Marcus Rashford to Barcelona - 33%

 

Team Best Odds Implied Probability
Barcelona 3/1 25%
PSG 11/2 15%
Arsenal 6/1 14%

 

Marcus Rashford, the 27-year-old forward, has been a key figure at Manchester United since his debut in 2016.

However, his recent form has led to him being left out of the squad by manager Ruben Amorim twice in recent games, raising questions about his future with the club under the Portuguese manager.

Despite scoring 138 goals in 426 appearances, Rashford expressed in December that he’s “ready for a new challenge.”

Linked with clubs like PSG, Barcelona, and Saudi Pro-League teams, his potential departure could be one of the biggest stories of the January transfer window.

He is as short as 2/1 and a best price of 3/1 (William Hill) to move to Barcelona.

Click here to see his live transfer odds.

Viktor Gyokeres Transfer Odds

2. Viktor Gyokeres to Man United - 25% 

Team Best Odds Implied Probability
Man Utd 13/2 13%
Arsenal 12/1 8%
Tottenham 16/1 6%

 

Viktor Gyökeres, Sporting CP’s in-form forward, has been one of Europe's hottest properties this season, scoring 27 goals in 27 appearances, including a Champions League hat-trick against Manchester City.

However, the upheaval at Sporting, following the departures of manager Ruben Amorim and his successor João Pereira, has left the 26-year-old's future uncertain.

With a hefty €100 million release clause, top clubs like Arsenal and Manchester United are monitoring the situation closely, and a move in January could be on the cards if Sporting’s struggles continue.

He is as short as 3/1 to follow in Amorim's footsteps and join Man United this January but can be backed at a best price of 13/2 with Sky Bet.

Click here to see his live transfer odds.

Trent Alexander-Arnold Transfer Odds

3. Trent Alexander-Arnold to Real Madrid - 50%

Team Best Odds Implied Probability
Real Madrid 3/1 25%
Barcelona 16/1 6%
PSG 25/1 4%

 

Trent Alexander-Arnold's future at Liverpool has become a point of speculation as his contract nears its final 18 months.

The 26-year-old, a product of Liverpool’s youth academy, has been integral to their success over the years. However, with Real Madrid reportedly circling, the uncertainty surrounding his contract talks has fueled rumours of a move to Spain.

Trent has stated that he won't be discussing any rumours in public, adding to the growing tension.

As Liverpool battles for the Premier League and Champions League trophies, the question remains: will Alexander-Arnold stay loyal to the club he's supported since childhood, or is a big-money move on the horizon?

He is a best price of 3/1 with Sky Bet to make the move to Ancelotti's Madrid after the January window.

However he can be found as short as 1/2 (50% implied chance) elsewhere.

Click here to see his live transfer odds.

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