The count down is on to find out who will be crowned the 2025 Ballon d'Or winner, so here's everything you need to know before the ceremony in Paris tonight.
This article was last updated on September 22, 2025
We are just hours away from the world's most renowned footballers gathering at the Theatre du Chatelet in central Paris to bestow the Ballon d'Or on the top performing player of the 2024/25 season.
As it does every year, the Ballon d'Or is dividing opinion once more, as football journalists vote to determine the best footballer in the world.
We were treated to some elite individual performances last term, however only one player can mark their name into history and join the prestigious list of players to have previously won the award.
The 30-man nominee shortlist was announced back in August, but now is the time to look at the latest odds for this year's winner, the best betting offers and all the other important information ahead of tonight's event!
Who is the favourite for the Ballon d'Or 2025?
With just hours until the ceremony, there have been major changes in the odds to determine the 2025 Ballon d'Or winner.
The frontrunner remains French forward Ousmane Dembele. Injury-free and revitalised under the management of Luis Enrique, Dembele notched 35 goals and 16 assists in 53 games last term, as PSG won four trophies including their first ever Champions League.
However, the 28-year-old's odds have drifted from from 1/6 to 1/3 in the last couple of hours to receive football's most prestigious individual award. At an implied probability of 75%, the UK bookmakers still have Dembele as very likely to lift the trophy.
Perhaps his biggest competition is 18-year-old Lamine Yamal, whose rise since breaking onto the scene for Barcelona and Spain two years ago, has been nothing short of sensational. The teenager contributed 18 goals and 25 assists to Barcelona's historic domestic treble, which sees him at 3/1 and an implied probability of 25%.
The other three to make up the top five favourites are Vitinha of PSG, Liverpool's Mohamed Salah and Yamal's club mate Raphinha. All of which had incredible campaigns across the 2024/25 season and won various trophies along the way.
Having sat as the fifth favourite for a number of weeks, today has seen Raphinha's odds shorten to 16/1 and an implied probability of 5.9%, following his 34 goals and 25 assists last year. This now puts the Brazilian ahead of Vitinha and Salah as the third most likely to win the Ballon d'Or.
Name |
Country |
Club |
Winner Odds |
Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ousmane Dembele |
France |
Paris Saint-Germain |
1/3 |
75% |
| Lamine Yamal |
Spain |
Barcelona |
3/1 |
25% |
| Raphinha |
Brazil |
Barcelona |
16/1 |
5.9% |
| Vitinha |
Portugal |
Paris Saint-Germain |
33/1 |
2.9% |
| Mohamed Salah |
Egypt |
Liverpool |
40/1 |
2.4% |
Best Betting Offers for the Ballon d'Or 2025
Take advantage of the best betting offers from some of the UK's biggest bookmakers ahead of the 2025 Ballon d'Or ceremony at the Theatre du Chatelet in Paris. The steps are simple and you can get involved by following the information provided below.
bet365 Sign Up Offer: Bet £10, Get £30 in Free Bets, Use Code ODDSCHECK
It's incredibly easy to claim this bet365 sign up offer for the Ballon d'Or 2025. All you need to do is follow these simple steps to create your new account and place a qualifying bet to unlock £30 in free bets:
- CLICK HERE to create your new bet365 account
- Make a deposit of at least £10
- Bet £10 on any boxing market at minimum odds of 1/5 or greater
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Sky Bet Sign Up Offer: Bet £10, Get £50 on Acca Free Bets
Create your new Sky Bet account and within minutes have £50 in free bets! Check your eligibility below:
- CLICK HERE to claim the £50 Sky Bet sign up offer
- Sign up and deposit £10+
- Place a minimum of £10 as their first bet on a minimum five-fold (5+) multiples and accumulator bet on any Sky Bet Premier League football market at odds of 1/1 or greater
- Your Free Bets will be credited as five £10 Free Bet tokens which can be redeemed against any Football accumulator with 5+ selections and cannot be used in conjunction with any other offer
Paddy Power Sign Up Offer: Bet £5, Get £30 in Free Bets
To add a little more drama, new Paddy Power customers can get £30 in free bets for the ceremony by completing the steps below:
- CLICK HERE to open a new Paddy Power account using the promo code YSKAST
- Deposit a minimum of £5 using a debit card or Apple Pay
- Place a minimum £5 bet on sports
- Min odds EVS (2.0)
- Your £30 sports free bet will be awarded after your qualifying bet has settled
BetVictor Sign Up Offer: Bet £10, Get £30 in Free Bets
New BetVictor users can get £30 in free bets in just a matter of minutes! Follow the guide below to claim yours:
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- Make a deposit of minimum £10
- Place your first bet of £10 or more on any Football market at odds of 1/1 (2.00) or greater
- Once your bet has settled, your account will be credited with 2 x £10 Football Acca Free Bet and 2 x £5 Football Bet Builder Free Bet
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BetMGM Sign Up Offer: Bet £10, Get £40 in Free Bets
Don't miss out on BetMGM's generous sign up offer and get £40 in free bets to back your Ballon d'Or 2025 winner! Check your eligibility below:
- CLICK HERE to create your new BetMGM account
- Deposit a minimum of £10 using Debit cards or Apple Pay
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Ballon d'Or Nominees for 2025
Check out the full 30-man shortlist nominated for this year's Ballon d'Or, including each players odds to be crowned the winner:
Name |
Country |
Club |
Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
Jude Bellingham |
England |
Real Madrid |
200/1 |
Ousmane Dembele |
France |
Paris Saint-Germain |
1/6 |
Gianluigi Donnarumma |
Italy |
Paris Saint-Germain/Man City |
100/1 |
| Desire Doue |
France |
Paris Saint-Germain |
100/1 |
Serhou Guirassy |
Guinea |
Borussia Dortmund |
500/1 |
Viktor Gyokeres |
Sweden |
Sporting CP/Arsenal |
500/1 |
Erling Haaland |
Norway |
Man City |
500/1 |
| Achraf Hakimi |
Morocco |
Paris Saint-Germain |
50/1 |
| Harry Kane |
England |
Bayern Munich |
250/1 |
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia |
Georgia |
Napoli/Paris Saint-Germain |
50/1 |
Robert Lewandowski |
Poland |
Barcelona |
250/1 |
Alexis Mac Allister |
Argentina |
Liverpool |
500/1 |
Lautaro Martinez |
Argentina |
Inter Milan |
250/1 |
| Kylian Mbappe |
France |
Real Madrid |
66/1 |
| Scott McTominay |
Scotland |
Napoli |
500/1 |
| Nuno Mendes |
Portugal |
Paris Saint-Germain |
66/1 |
| Joao Neves |
Portugal |
Paris Saint-Germain |
250/1 |
| Michael Olise |
France |
Bayern Munich |
250/1 |
| Cole Palmer |
England |
Chelsea |
50/1 |
| Pedri |
Spain |
Barcelona |
100/1 |
| Raphinha |
Brazil |
Barcelona |
33/1 |
| Declan Rice |
England |
Arsenal |
500/1 |
| Fabian Ruiz |
Spain |
Paris Saint-Germain |
50/1 |
| Mohamed Salah |
Egypt |
Liverpool |
20/1 |
Virgil van Dijk |
Netherlands |
Liverpool |
150/1 |
Vinicius Junior |
Brazil |
Real Madrid |
500/1 |
| Vitinha |
Portugal |
Paris Saint-Germain |
20/1 |
| Florian Wirtz |
Germany |
Leverkusen/Liverpool |
500/1 |
| Lamine Yamal |
Spain |
Barcelona |
7/2 |
Ballon d'Or Winners by Year
Here's a quick look at some of the most recent Ballon d'Or winners, and the clubs they played at the time:
- 2024 - Rodri (Manchester City)
- 2023 - Lionel Messi (Inter Miami)
- 2022 - Karim Benzema (Real Madrid)
- 2021 - Lionel Messi (PSG)
- 2020 - N/A
- 2019 - Lionel Messi (Barcelona)
- 2018 - Luka Modric (Real Madrid)
- 2017 - Cristiano Ronaldo (Real Madrid)
- 2016 - Cristiano Ronaldo (Real Madrid)
- 2015 - Lionel Messi (Barcelona)
