Get the latest World Cup prediction as Jordan's title odds move to 33/1. Find out what this major odds movement means for their tournament chances.
The odds for this market have changed from 7/2 to 33/1
Jordan's odds to reach the World Cup Last 16 have drifted dramatically from 7/2 to 33/1 with Paddy Power following their 3-1 defeat to Austria.
The implied probability has dropped by over 19%, reflecting just how damaging that opening-day loss was in the eyes of the market.
Defending champions Argentina beat Algeria 3-0 in the other Group J opener, leaving Jordan bottom of the group.
Star striker Yazan Al-Naimat has been ruled out of the entire tournament with a knee injury, further limiting Jordan's attacking threat.
Jordan's historic first World Cup appearance hit a harsh reality check at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara. Romano Schmid gave Austria the lead on 20 minutes before Ali Olwan netted a superb equaliser just after half-time, scoring Jordan's first ever World Cup goal. The joy was short-lived, though. A costly own goal from Yazan Al-Arab in the 76th minute restored Austria's advantage and Marko Arnautovic sealed it from the penalty spot deep into added time.
It is no surprise the market reacted so sharply. Without the injured Al-Naimat up front and after shipping three goals with individual errors at the back, bookmakers have pushed Jordan right out to 33/1 from a pre-match price of 7/2. With Argentina and Austria occupying the top two spots in Group J after matchday one, Jordan now face a must-win fixture against Algeria simply to keep their faint hopes alive.
Jordan To Reach Last 16 odds
Best odds 50/1 with William Hill, worst 25/1 with Coral.
Last updated: 17 June 2026
Who are the favourites to qualify from World Cup Group J?
Argentina are the clear frontrunners in Group J after hammering Algeria 3-0 on the opening day, and their price to qualify reflects that status. Austria are well placed to claim the second automatic spot after seeing off Jordan, while Algeria and Jordan both need results quickly.
Argentina – Dominant 3-0 win over Algeria on matchday one. The defending world champions look a cut above the rest in this group and are heavy favourites to top it.
Austria – A solid 3-1 victory over Jordan puts them in a strong position. Three points and a positive goal difference put them in the driving seat to finish second.
Algeria – Sitting on zero points with a minus-three goal difference after their heavy opening defeat. Their fixture against Jordan is now effectively a knockout tie for both sides.
Jordan – Bottom of the group with zero points and a minus-two goal difference. Currently 33/1 with Paddy Power to reach the Last 16, reflecting the scale of the task ahead.
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How do Jordan reach the World Cup Last 16?
It all comes down to the "Arab Derby" against Algeria on 22 June at Levi's Stadium. Both sides are on zero points and desperate for a result, making it a straight shootout for survival. Jordan need to tighten up defensively after the individual errors that cost them against Austria, and they will have to find goals without Al-Naimat leading the line. A win could be enough to squeeze through as one of the best third-placed sides in the expanded 48-team format, but anything less and their maiden World Cup campaign will almost certainly end at the group stage. The final fixture against Argentina makes the Algeria match all the more critical.
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