Check out the latest odds for Sunday's World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina.
Spain are the 4/6 favourites to lift the World Cup trophy when they face defending champions Argentina in Sunday’s final.
Argentina are 13/10 to retain the title they won in Qatar four years ago.
However, Oddschecker users are leaning towards Lionel Scaloni’s side. Argentina have attracted 47% of bets in the 90-minute result market since their semi-final victory over England, compared with 40% for Spain and 13% for the draw.
The final brings together a Spain side that have conceded only once during the tournament and an Argentina team that lead the competition with 19 goals. Spain are targeting their second world title, while Argentina could become the first nation since Brazil in 1962 to successfully defend the trophy.
Who is favourite to win the 2026 World Cup final?
Spain are the 4/6 favourites to lift the World Cup trophy, with Argentina priced at 13/10.
The prices give Spain an implied probability of approximately 60% and Argentina an implied probability of around 43.5%, before allowing for the bookmaker margin.
Spain’s position at the top of the market reflects an outstanding defensive campaign. They have recorded six clean sheets across their seven matches and have not lost a competitive international since March 2023.
Argentina are the outsiders despite winning all seven of their matches at this World Cup. The holders have also scored a tournament-high 19 goals and are unbeaten in their past 13 World Cup games.
Spain vs Argentina 90-minute odds
Spain are 13/10 to win the final inside 90 minutes, with Argentina available at 5/2. A draw, which would take the game into extra time, is priced at 2/1.
Argentina are attracting the largest share of bets despite being the 5/2 outsiders. Their 47% share is seven percentage points higher than Spain’s, suggesting bettors are willing to oppose the market favourite at a bigger price.
The draw has attracted only 13% of wagers, although the 2/1 price reflects the possibility of a closely contested final between the two highest-ranked teams in the world.
Why are Spain favourites against Argentina?
Spain have been the most defensively impressive side at the tournament, conceding just one goal across seven matches.
Their 2-0 semi-final victory over France was arguably their strongest performance of the competition. Mikel Oyarzabal opened the scoring from the penalty spot before Pedro Porro added a second, as Spain restricted a France attack featuring Kylian Mbappe, Ousmane Dembele and Michael Olise to just two shots on target.
Rodri has provided control at the base of midfield, while Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams, Dani Olmo and Oyarzabal give De la Fuente several different ways to create chances. Spain’s ability to dominate possession while remaining organised without the ball explains why bookmakers make them favourites.
They are now unbeaten in 37 consecutive matches and have won six of their seven games at this World Cup, with their only draw coming during the group stage.
Can Argentina retain the World Cup?
Argentina will become the first country since Brazil in 1962 to win consecutive World Cups if they lift the trophy on Sunday.
Scaloni’s team reached the final by producing a dramatic late comeback against England. Anthony Gordon put England ahead in the 55th minute, but Enzo Fernandez equalised with five minutes remaining before substitute Lautaro Martinez headed home Lionel Messi’s cross in stoppage time.
That result continued a perfect tournament record for Argentina, who have won all seven of their matches. They have not always controlled knockout games as comfortably as Spain, but their experience, attacking output and ability to respond under pressure make the 13/10 trophy price understandable.
Messi remains the central figure. The Argentina captain enters the final with eight goals and four assists at the tournament, having provided the decisive delivery for Martinez against England.
Spain vs Argentina anytime goalscorer odds
Lionel Messi is the 7/4 favourite to score at any point in the World Cup final.
Spain striker Mikel Oyarzabal is next at 19/10, while Lamine Yamal and Ferran Torres are priced at 11/4.
Messi’s 7/4 price reflects his eight-goal tournament and his role as Argentina’s penalty taker. The Oddschecker+ AI model gives him a 58.16% probability of scoring, the highest percentage among the players listed.
Oyarzabal is Spain’s shortest-priced option after converting the penalty that opened the scoring against France. Yamal is 11/4 and remains one of Spain’s biggest creative threats, having won the spot kick in the semi-final and also seen a goal disallowed for offside.
Lautaro Martinez may appeal at 7/2 following his winning goal against England. His starting status is less secure than Messi’s or Julian Alvarez’s, but he showed the value of Argentina’s attacking depth by making a decisive impact from the bench.
What time is the World Cup Final? UK
The 2026 World Cup final between Spain and Argentina takes place on Sunday 19 July 2026.
The match is scheduled to kick off at 8pm UK time. It will begin at 3pm local time in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
The final will be played at New York New Jersey Stadium, which is hosting the 104th and final match of the expanded 48-team tournament.
