Arsenal suffered a shock loss to Brighton over the weekend
The bookmakers still make Arsenal favourites for the 2026/27 title even though Manchester City lead the table.
After five matches City have 15 points from five wins. Arsenal have 12 after a 3-0 defeat at Brighton ended a perfect start. On the Premier League winner market Arsenal are 11/10 best and 10/11 worst; City are 6/4 best and 11/10 worst.
Brighton sit third on 10 points with a league best goal difference of plus 11. Liverpool, Brentford, Leeds and Everton are bunched on nine.
Premier League Winner Odds
Who is the favourite to win the Premier League?
| Selection | Best Odds | Worst Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 11/10 | 10/11 |
| Man City | 6/4 | 11/10 |
| Liverpool | 20/1 | 14/1 |
| Chelsea | 28/1 | 18/1 |
| Brighton | 50/1 | 35/1 |
| Man Utd | 70/1 | 40/1 |
| Brentford | 110/1 | 80/1 |
| Newcastle | 300/1 | 200/1 |
| Leeds | 300/1 | 200/1 |
| Aston Villa | 350/1 | 200/1 |
| Tottenham | 500/1 | 200/1 |
Arsenal are shortest. City are clear second. Liverpool are third favourite at 20/1 best despite sitting sixth on nine points. Chelsea are 28/1 best on seven points. Brighton’s 50/1 best underprices the table position relative to the top two but matches how title markets treat early overperformance. United are 70/1 best on five points. Everyone from Newcastle down is 200/1 or longer on worst price.
Table vs Title Price After Five Games
- Manchester City: played five, won five, 13 goals scored, five conceded, goal difference plus eight, 15 points. The latest win was 5-3 at home to Sunderland, a result that kept the perfect record.
- Arsenal: played five, won four, lost one, eight scored, four conceded, goal difference plus four, 12 points. The loss was 3-0 at Brighton, ending four straight wins and dropping them three points off the summit. The title price has not flipped. Arsenal remain favourites on the basis of season long strength and last season’s pedigree rather than the current three point deficit.
- Brighton: 10 points, goal difference plus 11, three wins, one draw, one defeat. The Arsenal result is the headline, but the goal difference leads the division and explains why they are the only other side inside 50/1 on best price among clubs outside the traditional top four conversation.
- Liverpool: nine points from two wins and three draws, unbeaten, third favourite at 20/1 best. Chelsea: seven points from five, 28/1 best.
- Manchester United: five points from one win, two draws and two defeats, 70/1 best, already priced closer to an outside top four story than a title push.
