A clear favourite has emerged in the 1000 Guineas odds market.
The 1000 Guineas is the second of the five classic races on the flat season, coming just a day after the 2000 Guineas, with both races at Newmarket.
Minding was the last winning favourite of this race in 2016 and since then only one winner has been below a starting price of 9/1. The biggest priced winner was Billesdon Brook in 2018 at 66/1 with last year’s winner Elmalka returning at 28/1.
15 runners were kept in contention at the confirmation stage before Fred Darling winner Duty First was supplemented, taking the total possible field to 16.
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Steve Ryder has been busy picking out the all important betting trends for the race in a bid to hone in on the likeliest winner this Sunday.
- 17 of the previous 23 winners had won a group race prior to this race
- 16 of the previous 23 winners had won just two or three races in their career before
- 15 of the previous 23 winners had yet to win a race over a mile
- 13 of the previous 23 winners won their previous race
- 13 of the previous 23 winners had raced at Newmarket before
- 10 of the previous 23 winners had raced at Newmarket on their previous start
- 15 runners were confirmed at the confirmation stage before
1000 Guineas Odds
| 1000 Guineas Winner | Best Odds |
|---|---|
| Desert Flower | Evens |
| Lake Victoria | 7/2 |
| Red Letter | 5/1 |
| Bedtime Story | 14/1 |
| Duty First | 16/1 |
Who is the bookmakers favourite to win the 1000 Guineas?
Desert Flower is the clear favourite to win the 1000 Guineas at a best price of Evens (odds on with the majority of bookmakers on oddschecker).
She is unbeaten in her four starts as a juvenile including three times at Newmarket (once on the Rowley Mile). Steve Ryder's pick for the race, Desert Flower won the Group 2 May Hill Stakes at Doncaster by 1 ½ lengths beating January before confirming that form in emphatic style beating the same rival by 5 ½ lengths over this course and distance in the Group 1 Fillies’ Mile at the end of the season.
Connections were pleased with her racecourse gallop at the Craven meeting and she looks the one to beat - a sentiment backed up by the oddschecker community.
Since the start of April, Desert Flower accounts for over 30% of the bets in the winner market for the 1000 Guineas through oddschecker.
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The only other with a greater than 10% share of the bets (14%) is Lake Victoria, who is unbeaten in her five starts last season including three Group 1 victories.
She beat the reopposing Red Letter (third favourite) in a maiden at the Curragh before winning the Group 3 Sweet Solera Stakes at Newmarket over 7f on the July course.
She then showed her versatility winning three Group 1s over 7f, 6f and a mile including the Cheveley Park Stakes at this track in September.
Coping with a rough trip early on in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf, she stayed on strongly over a mile to win by 1 ½ lengths on her first attempt over this distance.
