
Here are the odds for seven of the seats that are almost too close to call.
With the general election just days away, political parties are still battling it out in marginal constituencies across the country.
But what are the biggest potential ‘swing seats’, and what are the bookmakers predicting for each constituency?
We picked the seven seats that are up for grabs and analysed what bookmakers across the country are predicting.
These seats were considered ultra-marginal following the 2017 election - how are they looking at the bookies this time?
North East Fife – SNP/Liberal Democrat marginal
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Odds: |
Lib Dems (3/4), SNP (5/4), Conservative (25/1) |
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Held By: |
SNP, Stephen Gethins |
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Who wants it? |
Lib Dems, Tories |
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2017 Result: |
SNP, 13,743, Lib Dems 13,741 |
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Majority |
Two |
With the SNP holding an ultra-thin majority of just two, this is definitely one to watch ahead of election night.
The bookies currently have the Lib Dems as 3/4 favourites to steal the constituency from the SNP, with Nicola Sturgeon’s party 5/4 to win in North East Fife.
Kensington – Labour/Tory/Lib Dem marginal
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Odds: |
Conservative (8/11), Labour (13/5), Lib Dems (9/2) |
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Held By: |
Labour, Emma Dent Coad |
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Who wants it? |
Labour, Tories and Lib Dems |
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2017 Result: |
Labour 16,333, Tory 16,313 |
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Majority |
20 |
With the Labour party bidding for Tory seats, Kensington marks a huge potential swing seat for Jeremy Corbyn’s party.
Despite the Tories being priced as odds-on favourites to win in the constituency, Labour’s odds have been cut from 3/1 into 13/5, with money continuing to come for Corbyn’s party.
Richmond Park – Tory/Lib Dem marginal
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Odds: |
Lib Dems (1/4), Conservatives (3/1), Labour (100/1) |
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Held By: |
Tory, Zac Goldsmith, Defra minister |
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Who wants it? |
Lib Dems |
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2017 Result: |
Tory 28,588, Lib Dem 28,543 |
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Majority |
45 |
Holding a majority of just 45, bookmakers are predicting the Tories to lose this seat to the Lib Dems, predicting an 80% chance that Zac Goldsmith is ousted.
The Tories are as long as 3/1 to keep their seat in the key London constituency, with Labour well out of the race at 150/1.
Canterbury – Labour/Tory marginal
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Odds: |
Labour (17/20), Conservative (1/1), Lib Dems (50/1) |
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Held By: |
Labour, Rosie Duffield |
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Who wants it? |
Tories |
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2017 Result: |
Labour 25,572, Tory 25,385 |
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Majority |
185 |
This key Kent swing seat is definitely up for grabs, with bookmakers making Labour slight favourites to retain their Canterbury seat.
Corbyn’s party are 17/20 best price to keep their seat, with the Tories breathing down their necks at 1/1. The Lib Dems are third favourites in the market at 50/1.
Hastings and Rye – Tory/Labour marginal
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Odds: |
Conservatives (3/10), Labour (5/2), Lib Dems (80/1) |
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Held By: |
Independent, Amber Rudd |
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Who wants it? |
Tories, Labour |
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2017 Result: |
Tory 25,668, Labour 25,322 |
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Majority |
346 |
This is an interesting one. Amber Rudd’s seat of Hastings and Rye will be one to watch following Rudd’s abdication of her seat.
The Tories are 3/10 to keep the seat, with Labour closing in at 5/2 and the Lib Dems someway off the pace at 80/1.
Brecon and Radnorshire – Lib Dem/Tory marginal
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Odds: |
Conservative (2/5), Lib Dems (2/1), Labour (50/1) |
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Held By: |
Liberal Democrats, Jane Dodds |
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Who wants it? |
Tories, Brexit party, Labour |
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2017 Result: |
Liberal Democrat 13,826, Tory 12,401 |
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Majority |
1,425 |
This is set to be a seat that the Tory party pick up, according to bookmakers, with the Conservatives 2/5 odds on to take the seat held by Lib Dems.
Jo Swinson’s party are 2/1 second-favourites to win the seat, followed by Labour and their unlikely 50/1 chance of picking up the constituency.
Workington – Labour/Tory marginal
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Odds: |
Conservatives (4/9), Labour (5/4), Brexit Party (50/1) |
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Held By: |
Labour, Sue Hayman |
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Who wants it? |
Tories |
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2017 Result: |
Labour 21,317, Tory 17, 392 |
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Majority |
3,925 |
This is set for a showdown between the Labour party and Conservatives, with bookies predicting that the former are set to give up their seat.
The Tories are 4/9 to win the seat from Corbyn and co, with Labour priced as 5/4 second-favourites in the market.
Bolsover – Labour heartland
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Odds: |
Conservatives (17/20), Labour (5/4), Brexit Party (500/1) |
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Held By: |
Labour, Dennis Skinner |
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Who wants it? |
Brexit Party |
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2017 Result: |
Labour 24,153, Tory 18,865 |
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Majority |
5,288 |
The Labour heartland of Bolsover is under threat, according to bookies, with the Tories currently priced as favourites to steal the seat.
The Conservative party are 17/20 to claim the seat, with Labour odds-against second-favourites at 5/4, followed by the Brexit Party at 500/1.





