As the November 5 election nears, Trump and Harris are locked in a close race, with betting odds historically favouring the eventual winner.
As the US election approaches, voters will head to the polls on November 5 to determine the next president.
The race is incredibly close, with Donald Trump holding a 60% implied chance of winning compared to Kamala Harris’ 40%.
Harris narrowly led the betting odds at the beginning of October, but Trump overtook her in the second week, signaling a significant shift in momentum.
Betting odds have often predicted election outcomes, with the favourite historically prevailing.
Since 1866, the betting favourite has only lost twice so lets take a look at just how close the odds suggest the race is.
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US Election Odds
| Candidate | Odds | Implied Probability (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 4/6 | 60% |
| Kamala Harris | 6/4 | 40% |
Trump Harris Odds
As the US election date of November 5th draws near, the betting odds reveal a competitive race, with Donald Trump currently favoured at 4/6 (60% implied chance) according to Ak Bets, while Kamala Harris is at 6/4 (40%) with various bookmakers.
With only 15 days remaining until election day, Kamala Harris is intensifying her focus on key swing states, where every vote could make a difference.
After a weekend spent rallying support in Georgia and Michigan, she will spend today in Pennsylvania, engaging suburban communities in a series of talks aimed at undecided voters as she looks to regain the lead (according to the odds) and stop Trump's momentum.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump is making his mark in North Carolina, assessing the damage caused by Hurricane Helene in Asheville.
His campaign schedule includes a rally in Greenville later today, showcasing his commitment to addressing the concerns of voters affected by the disaster as part of his push to consolidate support.
It will likely come down to key swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, where voter sentiment can significantly sway the Electoral College outcome.
A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win, and recent polling shows a tight contest, particularly in these battlegrounds.
AK Bets
US Election Betting
Bettors using oddschecker are aligning their bets with historical trends, which show that the betting favourite often emerges victorious.
Since Donald Trump became the frontrunner at the beginning of the month, a striking 60% of the bets placed on the potential election winner through oddschecker have been on the former president.
Make sure you stay up to date on the betting markets here.
| Candidate | Percentage of Bets |
|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 60% |
| Kamala Harris | 40% |
