Tory Leadership Odds 2024: Who is the favourite to win, Jenrick or Badenoch?

Tory Leadership Odds 2024: Who is the favourite to win, Jenrick or Badenoch?

The Conservative leadership race has narrowed to Kemi Badenoch and Robert Jenrick.

The Conservative Party’s leadership race has come down to Kemi Badenoch and Robert Jenrick, two candidates who now await the final results after voting closed on October 31.

The winner, set to be announced on November 2, faces an enormous task: uniting a party reeling from its worst electoral defeat, with a record low of 121 seats and less than 24% of the vote in July.

Badenoch, a vocal critic of "woke" culture, and Jenrick, a former housing minister, each bring their own experience and vision, but they must now demonstrate they can rebuild public trust and bring cohesion back to a divided party ahead of the next general election.

 

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Next Conservative Leader Odds

Candidate Odds Implied Probability
Kemi Badenoch 1/5 83%
Robert Jenrick 11/2 15%

 

Who is the favourite to be the next Conservative leader?

Kemi Badenoch is currently the frontrunner to become the next leader of the Conservative Party, with odds of 1/5 with Betfred reflecting her strong position among party members, whom she is very popular with.

Known for her robust stance against “woke” culture and her emphasis on core Conservative values, Badenoch advocates for a smaller government that prioritizes effective delivery over broad policy proposals.

In contrast, Robert Jenrick, is 11/2 with 10bet, focuses his campaign on a stringent approach to immigration, advocating for a legally-binding cap on net migration and the UK’s exit from the European Convention on Human Rights.

While both candidates represent the party’s right wing, their differing strategies and visions for the future highlight the challenges ahead as they seek to unify the party and regain public trust following recent electoral setbacks.

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