Kamala Harris reinvigorated the Democrat campaign but has she done enough to beat Trump?
With the US presidential election around the corner on November 5, the race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris remains highly competitive.
In swing states—the pivotal states that could ultimately decide the 2024 election—the race remains neck and neck according to recent polls.
Kamala Harris currently has slight leads in Michigan, Nevada, and Wisconsin, while Donald Trump holds advantages in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Arizona, and Georgia.
Despite these razor-thin polling margins, betting odds suggest a slight tilt toward the Republicans in key swing states like Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, with Michigan being a notable exception, where Democrats maintain a slight edge.
Bettors have been busy having their say on the outcome, let’s dive into what they’re backing in the final days leading up to Election Day.
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Trump vs Harris Odds
| Candidate | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Trump | 8/13 | 62% |
| Harris | 8/5 | 38% |
October marked a significant month for the betting in the race to become the next US president.
Starting at 10/11 on October 6, Kamala Harris’s odds have stretched to 9/5 by October 30, showing a notable decline in her chances according to betting markets.
In contrast, Donald Trump’s odds have tightened, rallying from 1/1 to 4/7 over the same period, signaling growing support and momentum in his favor.
Trump is now a best price of 8/13 at Betfred and Harris is 8/5 with AKBets.
Below is a look at how the betting changed over the past few months as events such as Biden’s unexpected withdrawal in July and high-stakes incidents, including an assassination attempt on Trump and significant court rulings took place.
US Election Betting: Trump vs Harris
| Candidate | % Of Bets | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Trump | 54% | 8/13 |
| Harris | 43% | 8/5 |
Above is the percentage of bets taken through oddschecker in the last week on the potential winner of the US election.
Donald Trump has captured the betting momentum with 54% of bets favouring him.
He has instilled confidence in punters with a high-profile media push, including a recent appearance on Joe Rogan’s podcast, where he discussed policy and economic goals.
Alongside his interview with Tucker Carlson in Arizona, Trump continues to dominate the airwaves, reinforcing his platform to voters.
With rallies planned in swing states like Michigan and Wisconsin, Trump’s campaign is strategically working to maximize voter engagement and the betting reflects that.
