US Election Odds: How the Trump Harris odds have changed hour by hour overnight

US Election Odds: How the Trump Harris odds have changed hour by hour overnight

Donald Trump is now all but guaranteed to win the 2024 US Election according to the latest betting odds.

The outcome of the 2024 US Presidential election is still alive, with vote counts ongoing in key battleground states that will determine the next president.

However, the momentum appears firmly in Donald Trump’s favour, with the Republican party poised for a significant victory.

The former president has claimed victories in key swing states like Georgia and North Carolina, while Kamala Harris leads in liberal states like New York and California.

Trump is also leading in pivotal Rust Belt states, including Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, though votes are still being counted.

Harris supporters are not holding out hope with Trump also leading in the remaining five swing states, including Pennsylvania, which is crucial with its 19 electoral votes.

 

Bookmakers have reacted by slashing the 78-year-olds odds throughout the night to a current longest price of 1/200 before counting has concluded as it seems a Republican victory is all but inevitable.

Lets take a look at how the betting progressed throughout the night.

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US Election Odds

23:00: Trump 4/7 - Harris 6/4

With the polls closing in states for the first time on Election Night, Trump remained the strong favourite in the betting to win the election. Exit poll data hasn't yet provided much clarity but the betting remains with Trump.

00:00: Trump 8/11 - Harris 6/5

With Harris gaining momentum with some of the early exit polls, her odds shorten to 6/5 to win the election. In the hour between 11pm - 12am, Harris picked up 51.2% of bets on oddschecker, the only hour so far on Election Day she's been the more popular bet.

01:00: Trump 4/9 - Harris 7/4

A big shift towards Trump in the betting markets as the Republicans become betting favourites to win key battlegrounds Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

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02:00: Trump 1/3 - Harris 5/2

Huge shift towards Trump winning the election as he goes from 4/9 to 1/3.

An increase in implied probability for a Republican win in Nevada from 52.7% to 60.4%.

North Carolina increase from 64.5% to 76.9%.

Wisconsin flipped from Democrat favourite to Republican favourite between 1am and 2am

03:00: Trump 1/6 - Harris 11/2

Trump's odds cut once again to 1/6 and the lowest he's been at any point since the betting market opened to win the US Election.

In the past hour, Michigan has swung in odds from 11/10 to 4/7 to be won by the Republicans.

For the first time, the Republicans are predicted to win all seven swing states.

04:00: Trump 1/12 - Harris 14/1

Betting odds suggest Trump is closing in on the presidency as his odds are now 1/12 to win the election.

He continues to soar in odds in all seven swing states.

5:00: Trump 1/100 - Harris 35/1

The momentum appears firmly in Trump’s favour as he has secured victories in key swing states like Georgia and North Carolina.

He remains firm favourite to win the remaining five swing states, including Pennsylvania as his victory becomes inevitable.

When will we know the US Election Results?

The results of the US Presidential election could take some time to officially finalise, especially with tight races in critical swing states.

Vote counting is ongoing, and in key battlegrounds like Pennsylvania and Michigan, final results may not be available for days.

Narrow margins could also trigger recounts, further delaying the outcome. 

While media outlets project early results in certain states, the official winner might not be declared until every crucial vote is counted and legal challenges are addressed.

That being said with Trump's lead as convincing as it is based on the current count, it might be expected sooner rather than later.

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