US Election Odds: Which party will win in 2028, Republican or Democrat?

US Election Odds: Which party will win in 2028, Republican or Democrat?

Which party is favoured by the bookmakers to win the 2028 US Election, Donald Trump's Republicans or the Democrats?

We now know that Donald Trump will be moving back into the White House, four years on from losing the 2020 US Election to Joe Biden.

The 78-year-old Trump secured a sweeping victory after winning five of the seven swing states.

In a sea of red on the US Election tracker, his party have also retaken control of the US Senate after flipping seats in West Virginia, Ohio and Montana, while control of the House of Representatives is also leaning Republican.

Given that a clean sweep is now likely, putting the Republican party in control of the House, the Senate and the White House when Trump is sworn in on Monday 20th January, do the Democrats have any chance of winning the 2028 election?

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2028 US Election Odds - Winning Party

The Republican party are a shortest 4/6 on bet365 to be the winning party in the 2028 US Election (best price 8/11 on Betfred - implied 57.9% chance).

The Democrats are rated 44.4% likely at a best price of 5/4 on Star Sports but 11/10 on Betfred, suggesting it will be a close battle for Trump's Republican successor.

The Independent party can be backed to win the 2028 US Election at 100/1 on bet365.

2028 Winning Party Best Odds Worst Odds
Republican 8/11 4/6
Democrat 5/4 11/10
Independent 100/1 50/1

 

Next US President Odds

Click here for the latest next US President odds market.

The current top four mixes two Republicans - Trump's running mate JD Vance (7/2 - 22/2% chance) and Ron DeSantis (10/1) - with the likeliest Democratic party nominees for 2028 according to the odds, Gavin Newsom (7/1) and former First Lady Michelle Obama - now out to 9/1 having been as short as 4/1 yesterday.

Trump is constitutionally barred from running for president again in 2028.

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