Donald Trump 2028 US Election Odds & Special Bets: Will he complete 2nd term?

Donald Trump 2028 US Election Odds & Special Bets: Will he complete 2nd term?

Donald Trump is being sworn in for his second term as US President, with betting markets speculating on his next moves.

Donald Trump’s second inauguration as US President is set to take place today in Washington DC, with crowds braving freezing temperatures to witness the historic event.

While it may not have the theatrics of past years with the traditional outdoor ceremony forced to move indoors, the event will still be a spectacle, with political heavyweights, former presidents, and billionaires in attendance.

With Trump vowing swift executive actions—including high-profile pardons and bold policy shifts—the day promises drama on all fronts.

As millions tune in, betting markets are already emerging with predictions on the President's actions today and the future of the country.

William Hill

  • Solid in-play betting service
  • Cash-in option to help increase profitability
  • Excellent reputation within the UK betting-industry
Get £60 In Free Bets When You Deposit & Bet £10
Claim
18+. Play Safe. New players only, using promo code T60. Valid from 13/04/2022. Online play. Get £60 Bonus split between Vegas & Sports in the following manner – (i) Deposit £10 to unlock £20 Vegas Free Bet on Selected Games (72hr expiry, wagering reqs apply); then (ii) bet £10+ (odds 1/2+) with cash (excl. £10 deposit) or Vegas winnings (after wager reqs met). Once settled, receive £40 Sports Free Bets excluding Virtual Markets (4x £10, 7 days expiry). Payment methods & country restrictions apply. Full T&Cs apply. #ad

2028 US Election Odds

President Odds Implied Probability
JD Vance 11/4 27%
Josh Shapiro 12/1 8%
Gavin Newsom 14/1 7%
Pete Buttigieg 20/1 5%
Gretchen Whitmer 20/1 5%

 

As the 2028 presidential race begins to take shape, JD Vance and Josh Shapiro are emerging as two of the top contenders.

Vance is a best price of 11/4 with BetMGM while Shapiro is 12/1 with Betfred.

With President-elect Donald Trump term-limited and unable to run again, Vance's strong position as Vice President-elect places him in prime position within the America First movement and the MAGA base to fill the shoes of Trump.

His loyalty to Trump and his alignment with key conservative agendas make him a natural frontrunner, and his ability to tap into the heart of the MAGA movement gives him a substantial edge in a competitive field.

On the Democratic side, Josh Shapiro is rapidly becoming a top contender for 2028. With a solid political track record as Governor of Pennsylvania, Shapiro’s name has been gaining traction, particularly after his strong campaign for Vice President Kamala Harris.  

BetMGM UK

Bet £10, Get £40 in Free Bets
Claim
New customers only. 7 days to place a qualifying bet of £10 at 1/1 (2.0) to receive 4 x £10 Free Bets: 1x £10 Free Bet on Football, 1x £10 Free Bet on Horse Racing, 2 x £10 Free Bet Builders. 7 day expiry. Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. 18+. Full T&Cs apply.

Donald Trump Inauguration Speech Odds & Special Bets

Donald Trump to Mention:

President Odds Implied Probability
American First 1/10 90%
Joe Biden 1/8 89%
Martin Luther King 1/2 67%
Kamala Harris 5/6 55%
Crypto/Bitcoin 10/11 52%
Elon Musk 1/1 50%
January 6th 7/4 36%
MAGA 4+ Times 3/1 25%
Keir Starmer 5/1 17%

 

After taking the oath of office today, Donald Trump will address the nation, outlining his plans for the next term.

William Hill are offering odds on what Trump will mention with America First, his former opponent Joe Biden, Martin Luther King, Kamala Harris and Crypto/Bitcoin all odds on to be mentioned.

Interestingly Prime Minister of the UK, Keir Starmer is 5/1 (a 17% implied chance) to be mentioned in the speech. 

Donald Trump Inauguration Speech Word Count Odds

President Odds Implied Probability
Over 1999.5 5/6 55%
Under 1999.5 5/6 55%

 

Trump's first inaugural speech was one of the shortest in history at just 1471 words long, compared with 2404 words for Barack Obama's.

He is 5/6 to go under again this year, check out the odds here.

Betfred

  • Huge range of regular promotions
  • 24/7 live chat service
  • PickYourPunt builder for custom bets
£50 in Free Bets, When You Bet £10
Claim
New customers only. Register with BETFRED50. Deposit £10+ via Debit Card and place first bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. T&Cs apply.

Donald Trump Odds to Complete his 2nd Term as President

Full Term? Odds Implied Probability
Yes 1/3 75%
No 9/4 31%

 

Trump is a best price of 1/3 to complete the full term four-year term as President despite some concerns surrounding his age in the latter stages of it.

The 78-year-old is a best price of 1/3 to complete it and 9/4 not to with William Hill.

oddschecker logo
unsupported browser icon
Browser Not Supported

To provide a world-class betting experience we use cutting-edge web technologies only supported by modern browsers.

We recommend using one of the following:

chrome iconGoogle Chromefirefox iconMozlla Firefoxopera iconOpera
edge iconMicrosoft Edgesafari-ios iconSafari (OS 10.8+)