There is a clear favourite with the bookmakers to secure this year’s Christmas Number 1.
The most open Christmas Number 1 odds market in years is now drawing to a close, with today (Thursday 21st December) the final day for streams and sales to count before the final Christmas 2023 chart is revealed on Friday 22nd December.
‘Last Christmas’, the 1984 classic by Wham!, leads the way in a surprising turn of events given how strong The Pogues had looked at the top of the betting market towards.
As recently as 4th December, The Pogues were considered 80% likely to secure the festive chart topper with 'Fairytale of New York' (1/4) upon front man Shane MacGowan's passing, combined with confirmation that perennial winners LadBaby were not releasing a 2023 Christmas single.
Wham! entered December at 8/1 on William Hill (implied 11% chance) and were still 7/1 with the same bookmaker just six days ago when Tik Tok’s Creator Universe stormed to the top of the market (now out to 40/1 on Paddy Power).
Their closest rival in the latest betting is former Eurovision Song Contest runner-up Sam Ryder with ‘Christmas To Me’. It has been a big week for UK Eurovision after confirmation that Years & Years lead singer Olly Alexander will represent the United Kingdom at the 68th Eurovision Song Contest in May 2024. The UK are now joint favourites to win Eurovision 2024 at 7/1 in from 15/1.
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Christmas Number One Odds
| Artist | Best Price | Worst Price |
|---|---|---|
| Wham | 1/25 | 1/25 |
| Sam Ryder | 12/1 | 6/1 |
| The Pogues | 25/1 | 9/1 |
| Cher | 40/1 | 40/1 |
| Creator Universe | 40/1 | 40/1 |
What will be Christmas Number 1 2023?
It is more than 90% likely that 'Last Christmas' by Wham! will be Christmas Number 1 for the first time in 2023 at the best price of 1/14. The song has topped the Official UK Singles Chart on five non-consecutive occasions, but never been Christmas Number 1.
Sam Ryder is the second favourite at a shortest price 6/1 on Paddy Power (14% chance). He can still be backed at 12/1 to land Christmas Number One on bet365.
