Saara was 100/1 to win the show just weeks ago but she heads into the final as the 5/6 favourite, while Matt has been lengthening at this late stage.
The final of the X Factor is this weekend and Saara Aalto goes in as the favourite to win the 13th series of the show. She’s joined by Matt Terry and 5 After Midnight who should prove tough competition. All three remaining acts have been in the bottom two at least once in the series and we’ve taken a look at each contestant and how their odds have changed over time.
| Matt | Saara | 5AM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week One | 2/1 | 33/1 | 4/1 |
| Week Two | 5/4 | 50/1 | 4/1 |
| Week Three | 10/11 | 100/1 | 3/1 |
| Week Four | 4/6 | 33/1 | 8/1 |
| Week Five | 8/11 | 20/1 | 10/1 |
| Week Six | 8/11 | 33/1 | 10/1 |
| Week Seven | 4/6 | 12/1 | 6/1 |
| Week Eight | 4/9 | 5/1 | 5/1 |
| Week Nine | 2/1 | 5/6 | 6/1 |
Saara Aalto
Saara had a difficult time of it at the start of the live shows, with her odds lengthening to 100/1 but she now appears to have won over the public after booking herself a place in the final, following some impressive performances of late. After being in the sing-off on three separate occasions which included the opening two weeks, a string of outstanding performances has made her the favourite to win the show at 5/6. That turnaround from 100/1 in week three to the 5/6 favourite would be the biggest in the show's history if she went onto win on Sunday night.
She is set to perform with Adam lambert, who rose to fame in 2009 after finishing runner-up on American Idol. He is now part of the rock band Queen.
5 After Midnight
The boyband aged between 20-23 have consistently “wowed” the judges. They started the live shows at 4/1 and had always been just behind Matt Terry in the betting until the emergence of Saar in recent weeks. During the early weeks they appeared real contenders to win, with 3/1 being their lowest odds in week three. Ty struggled in the middle weeks though, with their performances appearing a little one-dimensional and their odds lengthened to 10/1 in both week five and six. 5AM were in the bottom two on week eight but won their sing-off against Honey G, with their odds shortening to 5/1.
A duet in the final was lined up with the Spice Girls but unfortunately they had to pull out. The Weeknd or Louisa Johnson and Clean Bandit have been lined up as a potential replacement. At 5/1 going into the final, Louis Walsh’s group are the outsiders to be crowned winners.
Matt Terry
The 23-year-old has been the most consistent contestant, in both his performances and his odds movement throughout the live shows. He started as the favourite at 2/1 and only shortened from there. He was odds on to win all the way through from week three until week 8. With the series coming close to the end, he appeared to be cruising to a win, much like Louisa Johnson last year. The emergence of Saara as a contender has put an end to that though and he made a shock appearance in the bottom two in week nine. Having seen off the competition of Emily he kept himself in with a shout but is now 2/1 behind Saara, his longest odds since before the live shows began. A duet with Nicole Scherzinger should improve his chances of winning, considering her past performance with winner Sam Bailey in 2013..
Who is going to win the #XFactor2016 ?
— Oddschecker (@Oddschecker) December 8, 2016
