The film industries prestigious awards ceremony is upon us and there are two standout candidates for the Best Actress Award.
The 2024 Oscars are fast approaching, and the Best Actress race has become a captivating battle between newcomer Lily Gladstone ("Killers of the Flower Moon") and Hollywood heavyweight Emma Stone ("Poor Things").
With the latest odds favoring Gladstone, the question on everyone's mind is: Can Stone stage an upset, or will Gladstone make history as the first Native American to win the coveted award?
According to the most recent data, Gladstone is the clear frontrunner with the lowest odds of 8/15, translating to a substantial 65.22% implied probability of winning. Her powerful performance and historic nomination have solidified her position at the top of the pack. Stone, meanwhile, trails with 7/4 odds (36.36% implied probability), despite her BAFTA victory and the overall success of her film.
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Oscars Best Actress Odds
| Actress | Lowest Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon | 8/15 | 65% |
| Emma Stone - Poor Things | 7/4 | 36% |
| Sandra Hüller - Anatomy of a Fall | 12/1 | 8% |
| Carey Mulligan - Maestro | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Anette Bening - Nyad | 66/1 | 1.49% |
Sandra Hüller ("Anatomy of a Fall") emerges as a potential dark horse with 12/1 odds (7.69% implied probability), while Carey Mulligan ("Maestro") and Annette Bening ("Nyad") are distant long shots at 66/1 odds (1.49% each).
The odds paint a clear picture: Gladstone is the one to beat. Her SAG Award win and the groundswell of support for her performance have positioned her as the favorite heading into the final stretch. Stone, a previous Best Actress winner, will need a significant surge in momentum to close the gap and secure her second Oscar.
As the ceremony draws near, the Gladstone-Stone showdown has become the talk of Tinseltown. Industry insiders and fans alike are eagerly awaiting the outcome of this nail-biting contest. Will Gladstone's odds hold steady, propelling her to a historic victory, or will Stone rally to claim the prize? Only time will tell.
Bets taken on Best Actress 2024 Oscars
| Actress - Film | Percentage |
|---|---|
| Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon | 53% |
| Emma Stone - Poor Things | 27% |
| Sandra Hüller - Anatomy of a Fall | 13% |
| Anette Bening - Nyad | 4.49% |
| Carey Mulligan - Maestro | 2.24% |
The table above shows the percentage of bets taken through oddschecker on who will win the Best Actress Award at the Oscars 2024.
The favourite, Lily Gladstone has taken the majority of bets with 53%, however, Emma Stone has also gathered a fair amount of support with 27% of bettors backing her to win this award for the second time.
Away from the short priced favourites, Sandra Hüller has received 13% of bets and clearly has not been forgotten. At 12/1 she presents an interesting option for bettors who think the trophy might be snatched from under the noses of the frontrunners.
Previous Oscar Best Actress Winners
| Year | Film | Winning Actress |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Everything Everywhere All at Once | Michelle Yeoh |
| 2021 | The Eyes of Tammy Faye | Jessica Chastain |
| 2020 | Nomadland | Frances McDormand |
| 2019 | Judy | Renée Zellweger |
| 2018 | The Favourite | Olivia Colman |
| 2017 | Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri | Frances McDormand |
| 2016 | La La Land | Emma Stone |
| 2015 | Room | Brie Larson |
| 2014 | Still Alice | Julianne Moore |
| 2013 | Blue Jasmine | Cate Blanchett |
