The favourites to win Eurovision 2025 have taken 22% of the bets through oddschecker since the start of the month.
It’s Eurovision Song Contest week, which means only one thing: a titanic battle of Europop anthems to determine singalong supremacy. Settle down, strap in and switch on for three nights of high drama and outrageous outfits.
The first semi-final takes place tonight (Tuesday 13th May). 15 nations will battle it out for 10 final places, before the second semi-final on Thursday 15th May, where 10 out of 16 will make it to Saturday’s grand final in Basel, Switzerland.
Going into tonight's opener, more than 22% of the bets since the start of May have gone the way of the market leaders, Sweden. Austria (11%) and Belgium (10%) are the only other nations to command a 10% or greater share of the bets.
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Eurovision Betting Odds
| Eurovision Winner | Best Odds | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 10/11 | 52% |
| Austria | 10/3 | 23% |
| Israel | 18/1 | 5% |
| Belgium | 20/1 | 5% |
| France | 20/1 | 5% |
As ever, it’s a tough old competition to predict even if the latest Eurovision betting odds suggest the bookmakers think they have it sussed.
The separation of jury and public voting means the night will almost certainly go down to the wire, making for not only an unpredictable evening, but an unpredictable market.
The benefit is that there are some very long odds at play and there is a huge selection of excellent prices to choose from. This year, you can plump as high as 750/1 with Sporting Index for last year’s second place, Croatia, or 2011 shock winners, Azerbaijan.
Shock is the key word here. The beauty of Eurovision is that long bets very well could come off. After all, it is known for its upsets.
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Who is the favourite to win Eurovision 2025?
The out-and-out Eurovision 2025 favourites with the bookmakers are perennial pop powerhouses, Sweden, who come in with a left-field entry of Swedish-speaking Finnish comedy three-piece, KAJ.
However, with the stakes so high and all other charges ready, there is an array of wannabe-victors awaiting the chance to claim ultimate accolade in pop music in the 12,400 seater St. Jakobshalle stadium.
Sweden’s song ‘Bara Bada Bastu’ or ‘Let’s Just Sauna’ has been praised by critics and is down with some bookies at 8/11, while you’ll find best odds of 10/11 with William Hill.
Sweden are closely followed by Austria (10/3), who will be hoping for a first win in just over a decade. There will be high expectation that this year’s entrant, JJ, and his tune ‘Wasted Love’ can romp to victory like their last winner, the iconic Conchita Wurst.
We fall to the chasing pack where the odds explode and we all begin to hope for a major upset.
France are an interesting case in the chasing pack. Represented by Louane’s emotional ballad, ‘Maman’, she sings about the loss of her mother to cancer when she was just 17. They are as short as 7/1 with one bookmaker but can be backed at a best price 20/1 on AK Bets.
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Who won last year’s Eurovision?
Switzerland’s Nemo took the Eurovision crown in 2024 with the ear-worm ‘The Code’, coming in at 5/1 on the day of the final (4/1 at the start of the week).
Settling for second place was big favourite Baby Lasagna (odds on at times) for Croatia with Rim Tim Tagi Dim, giving hope for everyone going into this week.
Nemo pipped Baby Lasagna by 44 points thanks, largely, to an extremely strong showing in the jury votes. The jury’s feelings are, unfortunately, impossible to predict until the final when their votes come through.
This year’s Swiss entrant, Zoë Më, takes an automatic final place with the track ‘Voyage’ and comes in at a best 35/1 having been 66/1 on Sky Bet as recently as yesterday.
However, aligning with the public might be the best indicator of where to invest your cash. The pre-competition OGAE Awards, which ranks entries before things start via 40 Eurovision fan-groups across the continent, has Sweden at No.1, followed by Austria, Netherlands, Finland and Malta.
The OGAE awards correctly predicted three of the top five in 2024. So, with Austria, Finland and Sweden already earmarked among the favourites with bookies, looking to the 80/1 Malta and 25/1 Netherlands could be the shock money-spinners come Saturday night.
