Donald Trump has become a popular bet to win the Nobel Peace Prize.
The 2025 Nobel Peace Prize will be announced on October 10, with the ceremony held in Oslo on December 10.
This year, the Norwegian Nobel Committee received a massive 338 nominations - 244 individuals and 94 organizations - a significant increase of last year's 286 nominees, reflecting growing global engagement in peace efforts.
While official nominees remain secret for 50 years, speculation surrounds grassroots groups, peace mediators, and defenders of democracy.
Recent Nobel Peace Prizes have consistently highlighted the committee’s focus on urgent global challenges.
From nuclear disarmament, as seen in 2024’s award to Nihon Hidankyo, to the defense of human rights in as seen in 2023 when Narges Mohammadi won thanks to her efforts in for her fight against women’s oppression in Iran, the prizes reflect a clear support for civil society and democratic values.
The 2025 award is expected to continue doing so by echoing today’s urgent global challenges - from Sudan to Gaza and Ukraine.
One name which is rumoured to be in with a chance of winning is Donald Trump thanks to his work to secure peace in the Middle East and to negotiate a cease-fire between Russia and Ukraine.
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Donald Trump Nobel Peace Prize Odds
| Candidate | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 13/2 | 13% |
| Julian Assange | 7/1 | 13% |
| Antonio Guterres | 7/1 | 13% |
| David Attenborough | 9/1 | 10% |
| Yulia Navalnaya | 9/1 | 10% |
Who is the favourite to win the Nobel Peace Prize?
Donald Trump is currently the betting favourite to win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize at odds of 13/2 with Paddy Power.
Intrestingly he has received 85% of bets in 2025 and 87% this month via oddschecker.
He has long expressed frustration over not receiving the Nobel Peace Prize, referencing the award frequently since his first term.
Last year, Representative Claudia Tenney nominated Trump for his role in the Abraham Accords, which normalized relations between Israel and four Arab nations.
More recently, Representative Darrell Issa followed up with a nomination citing Trump’s ongoing efforts to secure peace in the Middle East.
Trump has also claimed credit for taking strides towards facilitating a temporary cease-fire between Russia and Ukraine recently - viewed by allies as evidence of his ongoing diplomatic relevance.
His administration also worked on securing the release of American detainees from countries like Russia and Belarus, another move touted as peacebuilding.
Trump's presidency has however been marked by divisive rhetoric, the withdrawal from key global agreements like the Paris Climate Accord, and controversial foreign policy decisions that continue to polarize opinion.
It should also be noted that the committee has previously honored heads of state - including Barack Obama, who won the prize early in his presidency.
