Stay up to date with the latest Eurovision odds as the night unfolds in Basel.
The stage is set and the world is watching - the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 Grand Final is underway in Basel, Switzerland!
As the live performances unfold tonight, so too will the betting odds - often reacting in real time to standout moments, vocal triumphs, staging brilliance, or unexpected stumbles.
In this article, we’ll be tracking how the live odds shift throughout the night and who might be heading for Eurovision glory.
If you fancy a bet on the Eurovision Final, then make sure you check out Sam Eaton's Final Tips & Predictions.
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Eurovision Live Odds
Sweden Eurovision Live Odds
As Sweden take to the stage with “Bara Bada Bastu,” all eyes are on how this quirky crowd-pleaser lands in the room—and on the scoreboard.
Their odds have been among the shortest all week, but much depends on how the performance plays out live.
A big reaction from the crowd, slick staging, and strong televote appeal could see Sweden’s price tighten further, especially with their favourable late slot in the running order.
But if the juries lean more toward emotional or vocally driven entries, Sweden could drift slightly in the market.
A novelty number has never won. Voters typically prefer songs about triumph over adversity, and stonking great pop anthems.
They perform in the 23rd slot so should be fresh on the mind of the jury and voters at the end of the show.
It’s a big moment for the bookmakers’ favourite - and one that could tip the balance of the entire contest.
Austria Eurovision Live Odds
As Austria’s JJ performs “Wasted Love” live in Basel, attention is turning to how this jury-friendly ballad is landing with both the crowd and viewers at home.
Austria has hovered near the top of the betting throughout Eurovision week, and with JJ’s soaring countertenor vocals and dramatic staging, this could be a moment that pushes them even closer to Sweden in the odds.
If the performance hits vocally and emotionally, don’t be surprised to see Austria’s odds tighten during the show - especially with “Wasted Love” expected to do serious damage in the jury vote.
However, being ninth in the running order may prove a slight hurdle with the televote, unless the performance really lingers in the minds of viewers by recap time.
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France Eurovision Live Odds
As Louane takes to the stage in Basel with her emotional ballad Maman, all eyes are on how France’s entry is resonating both in the arena and with viewers at home.
France odds dropped (18/1 into 11/2) after her first performance, and with Louane’s raw, personal delivery - set against a visually striking backdrop of swirling sand - this could be the moment that reignites talk of a long-awaited French victory.
If the vocals land and the story connects, expect France’s odds to tighten in real time, especially with Maman predicted to score heavily with the juries as she will get to show off her flawless vocals and strong technical capabilities by performing a ballad.
Louane’s status as a popular musical star (1.2 million Instagram followers and 3 million monthly Spotify listeners), paired with the song’s universal themes of grief and healing, could also drive a stronger-than-expected televote.
The running order will be key. She will be performing 24th in the running order which could boost her chances considerably as she will be able to to dominate the recap and voter memory.
Finland Eurovision Live Odds
As Finland’s Erika Vikman brings her unapologetically bold entry Ich Komme to the Grand Final stage in Basel, all eyes are on how this provocative song lands with both the crowd and viewers at home.
A fan favourite since her emphatic UMK victory, Finland has hovered in and around the top five of the Eurovision betting market throughout the week.
Ich Komme is seen as a live contender, particularly with strong televote appeal.
Closing the second semi-final gave Vikman a major momentum boost, and her odds shortened significantly following that barnstorming performance.
Now, slotted 13th in the Grand Final running order - right in the middle of the pack - she’ll need to ensure her high-voltage energy lingers long enough to land in viewers’ minds come recap time.
With no dancers and a fire-spitting golden microphone hoisting her skyward, Vikman’s stage presence oozes star power.
The song - “It’s about orgasm,” she says, bluntly - blends pummelling Eurodance beats with a dash of German flair and a male choir, creating a spectacle destined for Eurovision folklore regardless of where it finishes.
Still, “Ich Komme” walks a fine line. It topped the semi-final audience poll and earned near-universal praise from the Wiwi Jury, but its provocative lyrics and visuals (toned down slightly after EBU pushback) could alienate some conservative televoters and juries.
But if Erika hits every note, sells every wink, and leans into the track’s wild, empowering energy, don’t be surprised if Finland charges up the leaderboard once the televote lands. This is the kind of performance that can flip a scoreboard.
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Netherlands Eurovision Live Odds
As Claude steps onto the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final stage in Basel with C’est La Vie, the spotlight turns to whether the Netherlands can turn emotional authenticity into a serious challenge for the title.
If Claude delivers vocally - with the same warmth and clarity that carried him through Beste Zangers and into Dutch chart success - the juries could well reward his technical control and emotional expression.
His raw story, a tribute to his mother and their escape from Congo, is the kind of narrative Eurovision juries have embraced in recent years.
But the televote could be just as important. Claude’s track record with streaming hits (57 million for Ladada), a growing social following, and the personal, upbeat message of resilience in C’est La Vie all point to strong pan-European appeal - particularly across Francophone regions and diaspora communities.
The running order could play a deciding role. He performs in the 12th slot, which historically has the best average overall finishing position, as Sam Eaton points out in his Final tips & Predictions article.
If the emotion lands and the narrative connects - both with juries and the voting public - the Netherlands may just be on course for their sixth Eurovision crown.
