France enter Eurovision 2025 with Louane’s emotional ballad “Maman” tipped to end the country’s 48-year wait for victory.
France are once again in the Eurovision spotlight as they look to end a near five-decade wait for victory at the 2025 Grand Final in Basel.
26 countries remain in the running after this week’s semi-finals, with automatic qualifiers Switzerland and the ‘Big Five’ (France, United Kingdom, Spain, Germany, and Italy) joining the 20 semi-final winners in Saturday’s final showdown.
Among the favourites is France, who have sent an emotional, piano-led ballad to challenge for their first Eurovision crown since 1977.
Let’s take a look at the latest odds, betting insight, and prediction for Louane and “Maman.”
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France Eurovision Odds
France are currently one of the frontrunners to win Eurovision 2025, with odds as short as 4/1 and a best price of 6/1 with Sky Bet.
Louane’s entry “Maman” has surged in popularity following her standout performance in the second semi-final, where she delivered one of the most emotionally resonant moments of the night.
That support has been reflected in the betting markets: France were as long as 18/1 prior to the semi-finals, making their current price a notable move.
Betting on France to Win Eurovision
France are the fourth most-backed country through Oddschecker over the last seven days, attracting 6.5% of all bets on the Eurovision 2025 winner market.
That places them firmly among the key contenders and suggests growing momentum, especially among punters who favour jury-friendly entries.
France are also gaining traction in fan polls, sitting 8th in the Eurovisionworld ranking with 4% of total votes and 7th in the OGAE poll.
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France Eurovision Prediction
We’re predicting France to challenge for the title in Basel – particularly with the jury vote.
With a song crafted for emotional impact and technical brilliance, France are projected to score well with the juries, echoing the paths of recent winners Loreen (2023) and Nemo (2024), both of whom dominated with the juries.
If Louane can connect with the audience and pick up decent televote support, “Maman” could carry France to their first Eurovision win in 48 years.
France Eurovision Song 2025
Louane’s “Maman” is a heartfelt tribute to her late mother, wrapped in a haunting melody and evocative, autumnal staging. The track has been praised for its simplicity, lyrical depth, and vocal performance.
France Télévisions have invested heavily in the act, enlisting Swedish choreographer Fredrik Rydman—known for his work on winning performances for Måns Zelmerlöw (2015) and Nemo (2024).
Louane’s popularity is another major asset: with 1.245 million Instagram followers and over 24.9 million TikTok likes, her online fanbase provides a strong platform for televote traction.
Still, the song’s slower tempo and melancholic tone may struggle to compete with upbeat or novelty entries like Sweden’s “Bara Bada Bastu,” which have stronger televote potential.
