Love Island 2026 crowns its winner tonight, and one couple has the betting markets in a chokehold.
Tonight's the night: Love Island 2026 crowns its winner after eight weeks of chaos, and the betting markets have never been more one-sided. With Mica and Samraj's shock power to axe another couple before the final even airs, and a runaway favourite that punters just can't stop backing, tonight's finale has just as many twists left as the drama that got us here.
Love Island Winner Odds
- Lorenzo Alessi & Julia Majchrzak - 2/5
- Kavan Murphy & Jasmine Muller - 5/1
- Simba Kudyiwa & Angelista Gunda - 6/1
- Tommy Stagg & Yasmin Hadlow - 25/1
Who is the favourite to win Love Island?
Lorenzo and Julia go into the final as the runaway favourites, and the gap between them and the rest of the field has only grown wider in the last 48 hours. At 2/5 with various bookamkers, they're odds-on to lift the £50,000, with bookies clearly backing them to see off a shake-up final that will only feature three couples instead of the usual four.
Kavan and Jasmine sit as the clear second favourites at 5/1 with Betfred, just ahead of Simba and Angelista at 6/1 (Betway) - a couple who have been among the biggest movers of the whole series after starting the week as rank outsiders. Tommy and Yasmin round out the market at 25/1, with their price drifting since it emerged Tommy had ended a six-month relationship shortly before entering the villa.
With one couple set to be axed by Mica and Samraj before the final airs, all eyes will be on whether that twist reshuffles the market or simply confirms what the odds already suggest.
Love Island Finale Predictions
Punters are backing this one heavily, and the public money tells its own story. Of all bets placed via Oddschecker on the winning couple today, Lorenzo and Julia have taken 51% of the action, more than the other three couples combined. Simba and Angelista are the second most popular pick with 24% of bets, showing plenty of fans are willing to back the outsiders for an upset. Kavan and Jasmine, despite sitting above Simba and Angelista in the outright odds, have attracted just 16% of bets, while Tommy and Yasmin trail with only 9% of the market backing them to go all the way.
That gap between the betting percentages and the outright odds is worth watching. Simba and Angelista's slice of the market is bigger than their price suggests it should be, hinting that plenty of bettors think tonight's twist could work in their favour. Lorenzo and Julia, though, remain the couple to beat - the money and the odds are both pointing in the same direction, and it would take a huge final-night swing for anyone to catch them.
