Who is favourite to win Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett tonight? Check the latest UFC 324 odds, prediction and method-of-victory betting markets.
Who is favourite to win Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett tonight?
| Fight Winner | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Paddy Pimblett | 4/9 | bet365 |
| Justin Gaethje | 15/8 | Betfred |
Paddy Pimblett faces the biggest test of his UFC career tonight as he takes on Justin Gaethje for the UFC Interim Lightweight Title in the main event of UFC 324. It’s a high-stakes clash of styles, with Pimblett’s grappling threat and opportunistic finishing meeting Gaethje’s elite striking, pressure and proven record at the top of the lightweight division.
In the latest Gaethje vs Pimblett odds, it’s Pimblett who enters as the favourite. The Liverpool fighter is priced at 4/9 to win the fight, while Gaethje is available at 15/8 as the underdog. Despite Pimblett being odds-on, betting sentiment has leaned the other way this week, with a strong portion of early win market money taking on Pimblett at short odds and backing the more experienced Gaethje.
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For Pimblett, the clearest route to victory is on the mat. The markets reflect that too, with Pimblett by submission the shortest method-of-victory price at 6/4 — a nod to his ability to force scrambles, take the back and capitalise quickly when opponents make mistakes in transitions.
Gaethje’s path is much more direct: damage and a stoppage through striking exchanges. Gaethje by KO/TKO is priced at 9/2, while Gaethje by decision sits at 5/1, showing bookmakers expect his best moments to come when the fight stays standing.
Round totals suggest this is unlikely to be a lightning-fast finish, with Over 1.5 rounds (7/10) shorter than Under 1.5 (7/4) — but the market still leans towards a finish before the final bell, with Under 4.5 rounds (4/9) the strongest late-round price.
Pimblett is the favourite, but Gaethje’s power and experience make this a fascinating betting matchup across method-of-victory and rounds markets.
Best bet: Paddy Pimblett to win by submission (6/4) — his clearest path is grappling and scrambles, while Gaethje’s best work comes at distance.
To follow odds movements and the latest UFC/MMA betting markets, visit the Oddschecker UFC/MMA homepage .
