Julian Champagnie Over 1.5 Assists (1pt)

AI Probability: 64.42% | Implied Probability: 46.51% | Expected Value: 38.5%

Best price 5/4.

Champagnie is not a high-usage playmaker, but the line is low enough that his role makes the over appealing. He is projected to start, has averaged over 30 minutes per game in the playoffs, and has cleared 1.5 assists in 10 of San Antonio’s 18 postseason games. With the Knicks likely to send heavy attention towards Wembanyama, Champagnie should have opportunities to pick up assists through quick extra passes, kick-outs and second-side actions. At just two assists needed, over 1.5 is a reasonable angle if his Finals minutes stay around the 30-minute mark.

Jalen Brunson Over 25.5 Points (1pt)

AI Probability: 51.19% | Implied Probability: 47.62% | Expected Value: 7.5%

Best price 11/10.

Brunson has been New York’s go-to postseason scorer and this line is slightly below his current playoff average of 26.9 points per game. He also has strong matchup history against San Antonio, averaging 31.7 points per game against the Spurs since moving to New York. While Stephon Castle gives the Spurs a strong point-of-attack defender, Brunson’s shot creation, playoff usage and ability to score in half-court possessions make him a strong candidate to lead the Knicks’ offence in Game 1. At a line of 25.5, he does not need a ceiling performance to clear.

OG Anunoby Over 16.5 Points (1pt)

AI Probability: 56.95% | Implied Probability: 47.62% | Expected Value: 19.6%

Best price 11/10.

Anunoby has become a reliable postseason scoring option for the Knicks and his 16.5-point line looks slightly low based on current form. He is averaging 19.7 points per game in the playoffs, shooting 57.7% from the field and 48.3% from three, and has cleared this line in nine of 12 playoff appearances. With New York likely to need his size and defensive versatility against Wembanyama, his minutes should remain safe, while the Knicks’ ball movement gives him multiple routes to points without needing high usage. At 16.5, Anunoby only needs to continue his current playoff role to make the over attractive.

Landry Shamet Over 1.5 Threes (1pt)

AI Probability: 62.93% | Implied Probability: 48.78% | Expected Value: 29.01%

Best price 21/20.

Shamet’s playoff average sits slightly below this line, but his current shooting form makes the over appealing. He has hit 17 of his last 21 three-point attempts across his last six playoff games, clearing 1.5 threes in five of those contests. This is not a complete outlier either, as he averaged 2.0 made threes per game during the regular season and shot 39.2% from beyond the arc. With the Spurs likely to load up on New York’s primary scorers, Shamet should continue to benefit from kick-outs and catch-and-shoot looks in a Knicks offence that has been red-hot from three throughout the playoffs.

Dylan Harper Over 10.5 Points (1pt)

AI Probability: 64.38% | Implied Probability: 51.28% | Expected Value: 25.54%

Best Price 19/20.

Harper may come off the bench, but his postseason role makes over 10.5 points appealing. The rookie is averaging 13.1 points in 25.5 minutes per game during the playoffs while shooting 51.9% from the field, and he has already produced several bigger scoring nights, including games of 27 and 24 points. With the Knicks likely to focus their defensive attention on Victor Wembanyama, De’Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle, Harper should get chances to attack softer matchups in the second unit. At a line of 10.5, he only needs a solid bench-scoring performance to clear.

Accumulator Tip - Points treble - 0.25pts

Dylan Harper Over 10.5 Points

OG Anunoby Over 16.5 Points 

Jalen Brunson Over 25.5 Points 

Best price 6.79/1 with BetMGM.

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