Boxing expert Peter Morris has two selections for Usyk vs Chisora on Saturday.
Oleksandr Usyk vs Dereck Chisora
British heavyweight Dereck Chisora takes on the former unified Cruiserweight champion Oleksandr Usyk this Saturday in the latest Matchroom PPV fight night. Usyk, who heralds from the Ukraine, won absolutely everything at cruiserweight and recently stepped up to campaign at heavyweight. Chisora presents the first real challenge to Usyk at his new weight and will tell us if the Ukrainian is really going to be a player in the top division.
Looking at the betting, the bookies are giving Chisora only an outside chance, his best price is 5/1, suggesting a 17% chance of winning. This maybe a little harsh on Chisora, who is a seasoned heavyweight who is rough, strong and can bang. However, if you do fancy siding with the outsider, it’s worth skipping over the 5s available and back him at an extra point to win by stoppage. It’s hard to see Chisora outpointing the Ukrainian technician over the course of 12 rounds, so take the 6/1 on offer for him to win by stoppage.
However, whilst Usyk looks an unattractive price at 1/8 there is value to be had elsewhere if you’re looking to side with the favourite. The method of victory market is the best place to start: the bookies broadly have an Usyk stoppage victory at even money and to win by decision a juicier 6/4. The 6/4 looks a better bet all things considered: Usyk is capable of stopping Chisora, but he’s never been a truly massive puncher, even at cruiserweight. He breaks his opponents down with accuracy and movement rather than taking the bout away from them with a single big punch. There’s a big question mark over his power at heavyweight which is why I’m happy to steer away from the stoppage bet and favour backing Usyk to win over the distance at 6/4. Chisora is a proper hardnosed heavyweight, if Usyk can stop him it will be a seriously impressive feat that will answer any questions about his legitimacy in this division.
Usyk’s first bout at heavyweight was a bit of a damp squib and he looked flat on the night. If Usyk is off his best against Chisora he will be made to pay for it; all the noises coming from Chisora’s team are very confident and by all accounts he’s had an excellent camp. It’s likely he will have success at times and if he is able to get on Usyk’s chest and swing in his big overhand right, then there will likely be some shaky moments for Usyk. A side bet on Usyk to be put down in the fight, at 7/2 has a reasonable chance to land, regardless of who is the victor.