UFC 328 Odds

Khamzat Chimaev makes the first defence of his UFC middleweight title against Sean Strickland at UFC 328 this weekend, with UK fight fans set for another late night in front of the Octagon.

The event takes place at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, with Chimaev vs Strickland topping the bill and Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira serving as the co-main event for the flyweight title.

The main card is scheduled to start at 2am UK time on Sunday 10th May, with the headline fight currently listed for 4:30am. Fight timings remain subject to change.

What time is Chimaev vs Strickland in the UK?

Chimaev vs Strickland is currently scheduled for 4:30am UK time on Sunday 10th May.

UFC 328 coverage begins earlier in the night, with the early prelims starting at 10pm UK time on Saturday, the prelims from 12am, and the main card from 2am. The main event cage walks will depend on the length of the undercard fights.

UK viewers can watch UFC 328 live on TNT Sports 1, with streaming available via HBO Max for subscribers. TNT Sports coverage can also be accessed through providers including BT, EE, Sky and Virgin Media.

Who is the favourite in Chimaev vs Strickland?

Chimaev is the heavy favourite with bookmakers at 1/5, having been as short as 1/7 across Oddschecker. Strickland is the outsider at 5/1 on the latest Oddschecker fight card snapshot.

Oddschecker data shows 74% of bets this week have backed Chimaev to win. Punters appear happy to be on side with the short-price favourite, despite the limited value available in the outright fight winner market.

  • Khamzat Chimaev – 1/5
  • Sean Strickland – 5/1

The market support for Chimaev is no surprise. He is unbeaten at 15-0 and puts both his middleweight title and undefeated record on the line in Newark. Strickland, meanwhile, returns to another title fight as a former UFC middleweight champion and one of the division’s most durable, awkward opponents.

Method of victory betting

The method of victory market gives a clearer picture of where bettors see value.

  • Khamzat Chimaev by Submission – 21/20
  • Khamzat Chimaev by Decision or Technical Decision – 17/5
  • Khamzat Chimaev by KO/TKO/DQ – 23/4
  • Sean Strickland by Decision or Technical Decision – 10/1
  • Sean Strickland by KO/TKO/DQ – 11/1
  • Sean Strickland by Submission – 50/1
  • Draw – 80/1

Although Chimaev by submission is the shortest method of victory price at 21/20, Oddschecker data shows around 50% of Method of Victory bets are backing Chimaev to win by decision.

That is a notable trend. It suggests punters are not simply following the shortest price, but instead factoring in Strickland’s durability, five-round experience and ability to make fights awkward. Chimaev’s grappling and control remain the obvious path to victory, but the betting split points towards many users expecting dominance over the distance rather than an early finish.

Why is Chimaev such a big favourite?

Chimaev’s price reflects his unbeaten professional record, elite grappling and status as the defending middleweight champion. He enters UFC 328 ranked among MMA Fighting’s pound-for-pound names, with the main event billed as his first defence of the 185lb belt.

There is also genuine bad blood behind the fight. During fight week, Chimaev and Strickland had to be separated after Chimaev kicked Strickland during a face-off, adding further intensity to an already heated title fight.

From a betting perspective, the key question is whether Chimaev’s dominance is already fully priced in. At 1/5, he is a strong favourite, but the bigger betting interest may come in the method markets, particularly with Chimaev by decision attracting half of all Method of Victory bets on Oddschecker.

UFC 328 full fight card and odds

Odds correct at time of writing. Fight times are subject to change.

  • 22:00 – Clayton Carpenter (6/4) vs Jose Ochoa (4/7)
  • 22:30 – Baisangur Susurkaev (2/13) vs Djorden Santos (21/4)
  • 23:00 – Pat Sabatini (1/2) vs William Gomis (9/5)
  • 00:00 – Ateba Gautier (1/10) vs Ozzy Diaz (17/2)
  • 00:10 – Roman Kopylov (13/8) vs Marco Tulio (8/15)
  • 00:40 – Jim Miller (5/2) vs Jared Gordon (6/19)
  • 01:10 – Grant Dawson (11/18) vs Mateusz Rebecki (6/4)
  • 01:30 – Yaroslav Amosov (4/7) vs Joel Alvarez (6/4)
  • 02:00 – King Green (4/13) vs Jeremy Stephens (3/1)
  • 02:30 – Sean Brady (11/18) vs Joaquin Buckley (6/4)
  • 03:00 – Alexander Volkov (4/6) vs Waldo Cortes Acosta (6/4)
  • 03:30 – Joshua Van (6/4) vs Tatsuro Taira (8/13)
  • 04:30 – Khamzat Chimaev (1/5) vs Sean Strickland (5/1)

Compare odds and bet on the full UFC 328 card on Oddschecker's dedicated UFC Betting Hub.

UFC 328 Betting Tips

We've picked out a four-fold accumulator for UFC 328 which is a best price of 4/1 when writing. 

Khamzat Chimaev to win by Submission
Alexander Volkov to beat Waldo Cortes Acosta
King Green to beat Jeremy Stephens
Ateba Gautier to win by KO TKO or Disqualification

Add the four-fold to your betslip HERE.