Three selections from Exeter for Night Five of the Premier League.
Nathan Aspinall v Peter Wright
Peter Wright was uncharacteristically poor against Gerwyn Price last week, losing 7-1 and averaging a measly 81. Whilst I am sure he won’t play that badly again, his odds aren’t much to get excited about off the back of that performance. He has only won once so far this season and that was against an out of from Rob Cross. Nathan Aspinall, on the other hand, looks at home in the Premier League and sits at joint top of the table. He has beaten Glen Durrant and Michael Van Gerwen in the last two weeks and there is no reason he cannot claim another scalp in the form of Wright this evening. I can see this being a tight game but the 15/8 on The Asp is too big.
Gary Anderson v Luke Humphries
A challenger is still yet to pick up a victory since the concept was bought in last year but I think Luke Humphries can break that duck tonight. He was brilliant last year against Gerywn Price, averaging 101.3 and probably should have won. Another great run at the World Championship saw him reach the quarter-finals, losing to Wright but averaged a very good 98.65. This should be a fast paced, high scoring game which will be thoroughly entertaining. Anderson is still a top player, but can be inconsistent at times and his doubling always worries me. He deserves to be favourite but at the prices he has to be taken on. If Humphries is at his best he has a great chance. He is worth playing at 5/2.
Michael Smith v Michael Van Gerwen
These two met over the weekend on the Euro Tour and Smith prevailed in a tight match. Bully Boy went on to lose in the final but the way he played and beat MVG will give him confidence coming into tonight’s game. Whilst I don’t think there is any value in the winner market, looking towards the 180 market Smith looks slightly overpriced. So far in this season’s Premier League, Smith has hit 11 180s compared to MVG’s 10. With Van Gerwen’s tendency to switch to the 19 and Smith regularly staying in the 20 bed, he can outscore MVG in the 180 department. The 13/10 looks a nice price.